(BOI)denbildung abgeschlossen,
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Der Staat hat einen Break-Even-Punkt auf seine 4,7 Milliarden € Rettungspaket für Bank of Ireland zum ersten Mal erreicht...
Die Kapitalerhöhung wird wohl vor Ende des Jahres sein...
Dies hängt aber von einer Reihe von Faktoren ab.
http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/...res-hit-23c-29565699.html
Dann lassen wir uns einmal überraschen.
VG
Markets impressed but ECB remains cautious
http://www.irishexaminer.com/business/...remains-cautious-242502.html
http://translate.google.de/...emains-cautious-242502.html&act=url
Tuesday, September 10, 2013
The eurozone emerged from an 18-month long recession in the second quarter of this year when GDP rose by 0.3%, the first increase since the third quarter of 2011. This was a double-dip recession as it followed soon after the very severe recession of 2008-2009.
By Oliver Mangan, chief economist AIB
The recessions have left the eurozone economy in a very weak state. The unemployment rate has climbed to over 12%, while output is 3% below what pertained ahead of the 2008-09 recession.
The GDP data for quarter two are encouraging in that they show a broad-based recovery in activity. All the main components of domestic demand — consumer spending, fixed investment and government expenditure — showed growth, while net exports also contributed to the rise in GDP. Both the manufacturing and services sectors expanded.
Leading indicators of economic activity point to a strengthening in the pace of recovery in the third quarter. The eurozone’s composite PMI, a good leading activity indicator, increased to 50.5 in July and 51.5 in August, its highest in two years and up from an average of 47.8 in quarter two.
Another important lead indicator, the EC’s economic sentiment index, has picked up strongly, hitting 92.5 in July and 95.2 in August, having averaged 89.8 in the second quarter.
The key German Ifo and French INSEE business sentiment indices have also been on a rising trend in recent months. The continued rise in the various leading activity indicators over the summer months suggests that the pick-up is gaining momentum.
One area of concern is the continuing weakness of monetary aggregates. The growth in M3 money supply remained subdued at 2.2% year-on-year in July.
Even more worrying is the continuing contraction in private sector credit. Loans to the private sector shrank further in July, declining 1.9% year-on-year. The pace of contraction has accelerated in recent months as the economy, in particular the corporate sector, continues to deleverage.
Another area of concern is the very high rate of unemployment, which rose above 12% in the opening half of the year. Labour market conditions remain extremely weak in a number of eurozone countries.
Overall, a recovery in activity has commenced and is proving somewhat stronger than expected. It would seem that stronger global growth, a fall in inflation and the accommodative stance of monetary policy are all helping to spur a pick-up in activity.
However, downside risks persist and the recovery is expected to prove moderate as on-going deleveraging in the private sector, further fiscal tightening, tight credit conditions and high unemployment, all act to restrain the pace of growth.
Thus, the ECB sees GDP contracting by 0.4% this year and is forecasting very modest growth of just 1% in 2014.
Indeed, at his monthly press conference ECB president, Mr Draghi, said that he was very, very cautious about the recovery and that the shoots are still very, very green. He repeated reassurances that, with inflation expected to remain at subdued levels in 2014, the very low interest rate environment could be maintained for an extended period of time.
Markets, though, seem to be quite impressed by the strength of recent economic data. They have started to price in rate increases from the second half of next year. The key ten-year German government bond yield has risen from 1.2 % in May to 2% recently.
The ECB’s fear is that the rise in market interest rates could choke off the recovery in activity. It has warned the markets that it could take action to counter unwarranted upward pressure on interest rates, including a further cut in rates.
© Irish Examiner Ltd. All rights reserved
scheinen nun doch die meisten verstanden zu haben, dass unsere boi ihr eigenes brötlein backt, nach wie vor relativ unabhängig vom anderen geschehen der märkte ist, und auch so ihren kurs findet. irland ist ein 4millionen volk, widerstandsfähig und nicht abhängig vom weltgeschehen der mittlerweilen 7mrd. erdenbürgern.... - fast.
das positivste des heutigen tages ist m.m.n. dass syrien NOCH nicht bombardiert wird. den einheimischen wird dies vielleicht nicht recht sein, die reichen STAATEN brauchen einen verbündeten und vielleicht ist dieser ja doch assad...
gruss weltumradler, der allen einen schönen abend wünscht
Für mich gibt´s da nur eine plausible Erklärung. Das kann imho nur am "Der Aktionär" liegen.
Der ist für mich schon immer ein zuverlässiger Kontraindikator gewesen.
Denke es liegt wohl eher daran,
dass gestern die ADR´s nachgegeben haben.
Also abwarten...
Die ADR´s im Moment ( PM ) dezent im Plus.
http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AIRE&ei=s0owUsi6OMeYwQOg5gE
VG
hab den (kleinen) rücksetzer mal genutzt ;-) hoffe mal das es nur n luftholen ist bevor der sturm auf die 30cent kommt ..
Es gibt definitiv keine schlechten Nachrichten, oder nicht mal neue Nachrichten.
Die Kurse werden einmal wieder manipuliert (Meine Meinung!), um unten einzusteigen.
Ich denke persönlich, das der, der jetzt verkauft, mehr bezahlt, wenn er wieder rein will.
(Ohne Gewähr!)
rein kommt man immer
http://www.ise.ie/Prices,-Indices-Stats/...quityDetails/?equity=11904
http://www.wallstreet-online.de/aktien/...of-ireland-aktie/chart#t:1y||s:lines||a:abs||v:day||u:bb,20,2
desweiteren solltet ihr euch mal ansehen wie oft wir am mittleren wieder nach oben abgeprallt sind, das untere wurde in den letzten 12 Monaten kein einziges mal unterschritten.
desweiteren auch schön der vergleich zum dax....... - weil wir ja so abhängig von den großen indizes sind.....
http://shchart.finanzen.net/...6&volumeUnit=1&gridGlobalOff=0
rsi hat sich auch gefangen und wir stehen oberhalb 22 Cent.....
gruss weltumradler
momentan wechselt die aktie für gute 20 cent den besitzer und nicht für 10e wie vor einem jahr.....
die die jetzt kaufen wissen auch von einer voraussichtlichen ke, vor 12 Monaten war diese noch wweeiitt weg.
gruss weltumradler
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/...anches-closed-29571996.html
gruss weltumradler
http://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/...euerzahler-jubelt-2650585
waren heute wohl alle arbeiten...
gruss weltumradler, der hausierende.....
European Commission president warn governments not to derail fragile recovery
http://translate.google.de/...-of-recovery-in-irish-economy-1.1523344
European governments must remain committed to reforms as economic growth begins to return to the continent, European Commission president José Manuel Barroso has said.
With economic recovery within sight, Mr Barosso warned there was “no way back to business as usual”.
He said the economic crisis of the past five years was a structural one and “we have to shape a new normal”. First and foremost, he said, banking union needs to be delivered. “It is the first and most urgent phase on the way to deepen our economic and monetary union.”
The biggest risk to recovery in Europe is a lack of political will among individual member states, he told MEPS during his “State of the European Union” address in Strasbourg this morning.
Five years since the start of the financial crisis, EU measures are starting to yield positive results, Mr Barroso said, but he added that significant challenges remain.
The rate of unemployment, at 26 million, was “economically unsustainable, politically untenable, and socially unacceptable”.
He said countries that wavered from implementing economic reforms would inevitably suffer.
Mr Barroso, whose term as president of the Commission ends next year, noted the economies of bailout countries were improving.
Referring to Ireland, he said the country has been able to draw money from capital markets since 2012, the economy is expected to grow for the third year in a row, and industrial employment is on the up. “One swallow does not make a summer” but “it does prove we are on the right track,” he added.
“Now is the time to rise above truly national interests and parochial values,”he said. “In this phase of the crisis, a government’s job is to provide certainty and predictability that markets still lack,” he continued.
“Over the last years we have seen that anything that casts doubt on a government’s commitment to reform is instantly punished.”
He said that the continent still needed to win the trust of its citizens. With the European Parliamentary election coming up in eight months, Mr Barroso implored the MEPs to convince the electorate of the positive work of the EU.
He told MEPs that when he attended the recent G20 meeting he did not receive lessons from other parts of the world on how to deal with the crisis—as he had at previous summits.
Instead foreign leaders offered “appreciation and encouragement” for what the continent was doing. He said because of the efforts of the European institutions, countries now pay less to borrow money, stock markets are in a healthier position and industrial output has increased.
Fine Gael MEP Mairead McGuinness said the state of the union report was balanced. “It reflects a sense of stability which has been restored after the tsunami of the economic, banking and fiscal crisis,” she said.
She said Mr Barosso was “right in pointing out that delivering reforms is the duty of the member states not the EU.” She said Ireland was delivering in this regard, having already implemented “significant and difficult reforms”.
Fianna Fáil MEP Liam Aylward said the address “struck a positive note in terms of focusing on economic recovery and growth, including the reference to consecutive growth in Ireland”.
But Socialist MEP Paul Murphy said Mr Barosso’s comments about Ireland were “fanciful at best”.
“The reality is GDP has fallen for the last three quarters, investment is continuing to fall and figures for both consumer spending and exports are down,” Mr Murphy said.