Trading Bougainville Copper (ADRs) 867948
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von Thomas Godt
Freitag 08.04.2011, 09:26 Uhr London (BoerseGo.de) – Im frühen Handel hat Silber die 40-Dollar-Marke erreicht und zum ersten Mal seit 1980 übersprungen. Derzeit sprechen viele Argumente für einen Silberkauf. Nach Beobachtungen von technisch orientierten Tradern ist keine Widerstandszone in Sicht . Nach Beobachtungen von Tradematiker.de ist der übergeordnete Aufwärtstrend weiterhin intakt, der erfülle alle chart- wie auch markttechnischen Beurteilungskriterien. Aus fundamentaler Sicht wurden die Argumente in den vergangenen Tagen an dieser Stelle mehrfach aufgelistet. Der IShares Silver Trust meldet zum 7.April einen Bestand von 11.192,80 Tonnen nach 11.162,45 Tonnen am 4.April.
von Thomas Godt
Freitag 08.04.2011, 09:37 Uhr London (BorseGo.de) – Waren da Zweifel? Waren da Sorgen? Am Freitag schrauben sich sowohl in Shanghai als auch in London die Kupfer-Future nach oben. Mit 9.853 US-Dollar je Tonne werden 1,44 Prozent mehr bezahlt als noch am Vortag. Analysten stehen angesichts dieser Entwicklung einigermaßen ratlos da. „Irgendwie sieht es so aus, als führten die Rohstoffe wieder ein Eigenleben, in den vergangenen zwei Jahren war die Entwicklung der Rohstoffpreise sehr eng an die Makroökonomie geknüpft, das scheint jetzt vorbei zu sein, sagt Yingxi Yu von Barclays Capital gegenüber Reuters. In diesem Jahr hätten sich die Rohstoffe von schlechten Nachrichten von der Makro-Front abkoppeln können, sagte er weiter. Der Markt kann mit den höheren Zinsen in China und Europa offenbar gut leben und konzentriert sich lieber auf die Erholung der Weltwirtschaft. Reuters-Analyst Wang Tao eerwartet, dass der Kupferpreis bereits in Kürze die 10.000 Dollar-Marke wieder überwindet.
Updated April 8, 2011 17:00:23
The cholera outbreak in the Autonomous Region of Bouganville is reportedly now under control, but has come at the cost of two lives with 159 suspected cases so far.
The outbreak occurred mainly in the northern tip of Buka Island, and has mostly affected children between the ages of ten and fifteen.
Authorities are encouraging people to take extra care with hygiene, and have introduced a ban on certain foods and home-made ice blocks in an effort to combat the disease.
Alma Mistry spoke to the Chairman of the Cholera Task Force in Bougainville Patrick Koles, and began by asking him if the outbreak was under control.
Presenter: Alma Mistry
Speaker: Patrick Koles, Chairman of the Cholera Task Force in Bougainville
Listen:Windows Media
KOLES: We pretty much lack the manpower underground and at the same time, the cases that are being reported are a lot of them are actually mild cases, some of which are probably are just diarrhoea and the other thing is we still believe that we are actually under control is that since the first reported cases of two deaths, we haven't had deaths at all and we're actually controlling the people that are affected and it's not really actually serious. They are mainly mild cases.
MISTRY: OK, so what are the symptoms and where can people go to get treatment?
KOLES: The symptoms are basically people will develop very severe diarrhoea as well as vomit. There is no headache and there is in fact on the tummy, the stomach is sort of kind of cramped, sort of muscle cramp, that's the sign where people actually have the cholera.
MISTRY: You mentioned that you don't have enough manpower, but what is being done on the ground?
KOLES: Throughout the entire region of Bougainville, we've actually conducted workshops to bring in all the health staff in the rural areas to come for a two day session in the Sarak quarters of Bougainville and they've already gone back to their own districts and what they're doing at the moment now is before the cholera is actually spread to the mainland of Bougainville, what they're doing is they're actually conducting intensive awareness programs now with the mobilisation of the council of elders in each of the COE areas. And where the cholera is actually being contained, we have also despatched the teams and then they are directly in the villages where cholera is being noticed. And at the same time, we're actually getting a lot of assistance from the National Health Department as well as the World Health Organisation.
MISTRY: What are the preventative measures people can take and are they being educated about them?
KOLES: There's a lot of education in the areas that are affected as well as those areas that have not been affected by cholera. What we are doing is, we have a mass production of simplified posters and pamphlets and we actually going door-to-door, door-to-door to the households, so this is the sort of awareness that we're doing and all the teachers have also been orientated so they can actually undertake the awareness in the classrooms.
As far as the council of elders are concerned, we've already talked to them about it and they're actually going around now in each of their COE areas and actually conducting the awareness.
MISTRY: So cholera is proving an ongoing problem in PNG. Now that it's surfaced in Bougainville, is there a risk it will spread into the Solomon Islands?
KOLES: There's a possibility that it can spread into the Solomon Islands, but what we are trying to do now is sort of contain where it has been detected and so far it has not spread to the other areas at all.
MISTRY: Would you be wanting to put some quarantine measures in place?
KOLES: Yes, yes and when we see that it is very, very critical, but at the moment we see that we actually having it controlled. What we're telling them at the moment is that in the areas where cholera has been detected, that they shouldn't move around to other areas for the time being.
Copper Fox ist inzwischen mit 1 Mrd. USD bewertet,BOU mit der Hälfte,daran erkennt man echt gut die Unterbewertung
beide ohne Produktion,gut BOU hat schon bewiesen das sie günstig produzieren können,ansonsten ein echt guter Vergleich
Am weitesten ist wahrscheinlich Utah: Dort hat das Landesparlament bereits mit Mehrheit einer Gesetzesvorlage zugestimmt, die Gold und Silber zu Zahlungsmitteln im Bundesstaat erklärt.
Es gibt sie also, vernünftige Parlamentarier. Es komme mir niemand mit pauschalem „die da oben".
Mit herzlichem Gruß!
Ihr
Michael Vaupel
Diplom-Volkswirt / M.A.
Chefredakteur Traders Daily
von Harald Weygand
Freitag 08.04.2011, 15:05 Uhr
Unterhalb einer mehrjährigen Widerstandslinie bei 4,40 $ korrigiert der Kupferpreis seit Ende 2010 seitwärts. Durch den Preisanstieg in dieser Woche erfolgt eine mittelfristige Weichenstellung. Das Kursmuster der letzten Monate wird dadurch zu einem bullischen Fortsetzungsmuster.
Nymex Kupfer : 4,48 $.
Ab jetzt gilt: Steigt der Kupferpreis über 4,64 $ an, generiert dies ein mittelfristiges Kaufsignal mit Kursziel 5,10 $. Das sind dann immerhin ca. 13% Aufwärtspotential ungehebelt. Kupfer haben wir bisher ziemlich gut prognostisch eingrenzen können, allerdings war die vorhergehende Prognose falsch. Sie sah nämlich eine zwischengeschaltete Korrektur vor. Die Tatsache, dass der Kupferpreis unter dem eingangs erwähnten Widerstand lediglich seitwärts korrigiert und nur unwesentlich preislich nachgibt, zeigt einen anhaltend hohen Kaufdruck an.
Sie interessieren sich für Rohstoffe ? Dann empfehle ich Ihnen den Rohstoff-Report. Der Rohstoff-Report ist der reichweitenstärkste Börsenbrief Deutschlands mit Fokus auf Rohstoff-Research. Melden Sie sich dauerhaft kostenlos an :
http://www.rohstoff-report.de/
Dass gestern und heute gegen Abend die Kurse in D weit über pari laufen, wird aber wohl mit den steigenden Metallpreisen nicht zu begründen sein, oder? Ich hab diesmal auch nichts damit zu tun also: Wer kauft denn hier so aggressiv zu diesen Preisen? Bist Du es, Nekro?
BOC ist ein open-end Optionsschein (ohne Zeitwertverlust ;-))) auf Gold, Silber, Kupfer, Molybdän u. Rhenium.
Zudem gibt es den Hebel von 7 zusätzlichen Lizenzen sowie eines wahrscheinlichen Resourcen Up-grades der Pangunamine noch gratis dazu.
"BCL, generally forgotten as a hopeless stock with a hopeless future."............die Zeiten sollten bald definitiv vorbei sein. ;-))))))))))))))))))
The global copper market is likely to remain in a supply and demand deficit during 2011 and the metal is expected to hit fresh record highs in the H2 of the year.
The metals consultancy GFMS said that still, a noteworthy correction may well occur ahead of any new peaks. The consultancy released its Copper Survey 2011 in Santiago of Chile in conjunction with the CESCO Week annual industry gathering. GFMS estimated that the copper market went into deficit in the second half of last year after a small surplus in the first six months of 2010. The swing into deficit was the result of accelerated growth in mature economies’ consumption, further increases in Chinese offtake and lackluster mine-production growth. Even though increased secondary production boosted total refined output, global refined consumption exceeded supply by 286,000 tons, GFMS said.
Mr Nikis Kavalis senior copper analyst said that “The sharp improvement in copper fundamentals rekindled investor interest
in copper after a period of relative weakness in the aftermath of the European sovereign debt crisis. Copper hit a series of record highs in 2010 and early 2011 peaking at USD 10,148 per tonne on February 14. GFMS said that global refined consumption should remain strong in 2011 helped by continued economic recovery in mature economies as well as strong underlying increases in demand from developing countries led by China. Mine production is also expected to accelerate and scrap volumes should rise further. Still refined production is unlikely to outpace demand this year and the market will remain in deficit at least until year end.
It said that sales from unreported inventories of refined and copper scrap have resulted in a well supplied market in recent months. In addition, the large number of bullish speculative positions means potential for major liquidation should there be any negative news for copper such as European debt problems, geopolitical events industrial production in key consuming nations or Chinese monetary policy. Any such liquidation could mean prices falling well below USD 9,000 per tonne.
(Sourced from www.commodityonline.com)
For more news visit at www.steelguru.com
Liam Fox reported this story on Saturday, April 9, 2011 08:24:00
Listen to MP3 of this story ( minutes)
Alternate WMA version | MP3 download
ELIZABETH JACKSON: It's a decade since a civil war killed thousands of people on Bougainville in Papua New Guinea but the island is still infested with the guns that fuelled the conflict. Disarmament efforts have stalled and there are still plenty of weapons in the hands of former combatants.
Our PNG correspondent Liam Fox reports from Bougainville.
LIAM FOX: The fighting on Bougainville may have formally ended with a peace agreement in 2001 but the scars remain. The charred and rusting carcasses of buildings torched during the conflict are dotted around Arawa on the island's east coast.
A short drive out of Arawa is another scar from those times. A group of former combatants guard the roadblock to the defunct Panguna copper mine. They're not carrying weapons but when asked if they've got any guns one of them produces an M16 assault rifle from a nearby shed.
He pops out the cartridge to show it's packed with bullets.
FORMER COMBATANT: These weapons are only for self-defence. We don't misuse weapons in here.
LIAM FOX: Colonel Alex Dakamari from the Me'ekamui Defence Force, a remnant of the Bougainville Revolutionary Army, is in charge of the group.
And does Me'ekamui still have many guns?
ALEX DAKAMARI: Yeah we do have many guns. It's all over the island.
LIAM FOX: It was anger towards the mine that sparked the decade-long secessionist war with PNG that left several thousand people dead. Locals fought with homemade weapons and with old guns and ammunition buried here during World War II.
After many failed attempts the peace agreement brought an end to the fighting and included a disarmament process. Two thousand weapons were initially destroyed but there's been little progress since the United Nations' observer mission left in 2005.
John Momis, the president of the Autonomous Bougainville Government says the momentum has been lost.
JOHN MOMIS: We don't have the funds and we're not paying enough attention. We're worried about it, we haven't forgotten about it.
LIAM FOX: An unknown number of guns are still in the hands of former combatants and criminals. While many of the guns are rarely used lawyer and Bougainville expert Anthony Regan says they are causing serious problems in some areas.
ANTHONY REGAN: In the south of Bougainville in particular there's been localised conflict over the last four or five years and the weapons are being used in that. A number of people killed - 50 or 60.
LIAM FOX: Mr Regan says disarmament efforts collapsed with the departure of the United Nations observer mission.
ANTHONY REGAN: One of the advantages of the UN was that they were independent so there was no sense that it was somebody associated with one of the factions.
LIAM FOX: The Australian Government says it wants to help Bougainville. During a visit to the island the Parliamentary Secretary for Pacific Island Affairs Richard Marles told locals if they develop a plan Australia is ready to assist.
RICHARD MARLES: The job is certainly not complete and not enough weapons have been brought forward. We really do regard this as central to the whole issue of Bougainville.
LIAM FOX: Time is running out to solve the problem. Under the Bougainville peace agreement a referendum on independence is due to be held between 2015 and 2020. But that's unlikely to happen until the weapons that fuelled the war are destroyed.
ELIZABETH JACKSON: That's Liam Fox reporting from Bougainville
Copper imports by China, the largest consumer, climbed 29% in March from a two-year low as fabricators stepped up production. Shipments fell 33% from the same month last year.
Soya bean imports too climbed 51% in March from the lowest level in more than two years.
Inbound movements of copper and products were 3,04,299 tonne compared with 2,35,469 tonne in February and 4,56,240 tonne in March 2010, according to the General Administration of Customs. The February level was the lowest since January 2009.
While the increase from the previous month reflected a recovery in manufacturing which grew for the first time in March in four months and the Chinese New Year holiday in February, the decline from last year may boost concern over whether the level of demand in the country is being sustained. Domestic prices have traded at a discount to London since July on ample supplies.
Prime Minister, Sir Michael Somare, is reportedly ill and undergoing critical medical treatment in Singapore.
This is according to heads of the Catholic Church of which Sir Michael is a devout follower.
Members of the various congregations around PNG were advised of Sir Michael’s condition and asked to pray for him.
Most members of his family are also reported to have flown to Singapore to be by his side for support.
Staff were not able to shed light on Sir Michael’s condition, but a week ago he had travelled there for his normal medical check up.
Church members though were advised that Sir Michael’s condition was serious and therefore their prayer support was critical at this time.
On that advice, information was quickly put to other church members and congregations.
Prayers were held throughout the day for the Prime Minister.
In the process also, the report of Sir Michael’s condition has now become common knowledge.
von Thomas Godt
Montag 11.04.2011, 09:22 Uhr
London (BoerseGo.de) – Der drei-Monats-Kontrakt auf Kupfer an der LME legt am Montag leicht zu. Im frühen Handel notiert der Kontrakt bei 9.916 US-Dollar, das sind gegenüber Freitag noch einmal 0,08 Prozent mehr. „Die Dollarschwäche ist ursächlich für die Performance der Metalle“ sagt Ben Westmore von der National Australia Bank gegenüber Reuters.Die Fed habe sich im Gegensatz zur EZB sehr taubenhaft angehört, das führe zu gegensätzlichen Zinserwartungen bei den Währungen Euro und US-Dollar. Der Kupfer-Import Chinas ist im März im Vergleich zum Vormonat wieder angestiegen. Im März wurden 304.299 Tonnen importiert ein Plus von fast 30 Prozent gegenüber dem Februar. Im Vergleich zur Vorjahresperiode liegt der Import im März aber immer noch um ein Drittel zurück. „Man habe wieder Käufe beobachten können“, sagte Lin Yuji von Jinhui Futures. Er glaubt, dass Kupfer kurzfristig noch einmal über 10.000 US-Dollar je Tonne steigt um danach zu korrigieren. Eine ähnliche Erwartungshaltung nimmt auch Reuters-Analyst Wang Tao ein. Er rechnet damit, dass Kupfer bis auf 10.103 Dollar steigen wird
Updated April 11, 2011 16:53:17
It's been a decade since the end of a civil war that killed thousands of people on Bougainville in Papua New Guinea ... but the island is still infested with the guns that fuelled the conflict.
Disarmament efforts have stalled and there are still plenty of weapons in the hands of former combatants.
Locals say they can't deal with the issue on their and they need help.
Presenter: PNG correspondent Liam Fox
Speakers: Colonel Alex Dakamari from the Me'ekamui Defence Force; John Momis, President of the Autonomous Bougainville Government; Sergeant Herman Birengka, Bougainville unarmed policeman; Anthony Regan, Bougainville expert; Richard Marles, Australia's Parliamentary Secretary for Pacific Island Affairs
Listen:
Windows Media
im "Urlaub" ist passiert nicht mehr viel,also scheint er wichtiger zu sein als alle denken,ich denke bis zur HV wird der Kurs weiter zwischen 1,55 und 1,65 schwanken,danach wird wohl einiges passieren
schläft im Moment auch,und als Momis noch "unterwegs" war stand öfters was über die Panguna im Post Courier,vielleicht will man das eine oder andere bis zur HV in trockenen Tüchern haben
aber wer weiss das schon :-)))))))
Niemand scheint zu wissen, wann es wie weitergeht, denn sonst gäb es wohl wenigstens Insiderkäufe, die dem Kurs eine Richtung geben würden. So dümpelt er weiter vor sich hin ...
... wenn Du die von April bis November 2010 meinst, okay. Aber seitdem hat sich ja nun kursmäßig nichts Wesentliches mehr getan und jetzt so kurz vor dem entscheidenden positiven Durchbruch könnte man etwas mehr Interesse erwarten, meine ich.