Jinko Solar vor einer Neubewertung ?
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Q4 2014 Trina Solar Limited Earnings Conference Call
03/04/15 at 8:00 a.m. ET
http://ir.trinasolar.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=206405&p=irol-IRHome
Für Jinko wünsche ich mir,daß die Verluste von gestern,heute wieder ausgeglichen werden.
Mal ein kleiner Blick auf die Q4-Erwartungen von Trina von RBC Capitals:
Q4-Umsatz: 676 Mio. $ (Q3: 616,8 Mio. $)
Bruttomarge: 15% (Q3: 16,7%)
EBIT: 21,0 Mio. $ (Q3: 35,6 Mio. $)
EBIT-Marge: 3,1% (Q3: 5,8%)
Nettogewinn: 10,7 Mio. $ (Q3: 11,5 Mio. $)
EPS: 0,12 $ (Q3: 0,14 $)
Der Link zu diesem Detail-Rating dazu:
https://rbcnew.bluematrix.com/docs/pdf/...4500-bdcc-36b221b0f4ea.pdf?
Ob jetzt die Q4 EBIT-Marge von Trina wirklich so mies sein wird mit 3,1% weiß ich nicht, aber ich gehe auch davon aus, dass bis auf Jinko alle China-Solaris in Q4 rückläufige Gewinnmargen haben werden. Liegt an den teilweise kräftig gesunkenen Modulpreise in Japan, an den sehr schlechten Währungsentwicklungen beim Euro, Pfund und Yen und auch an den US-Strafzöllen.
Ich bin echt gespannt auf die Q1-Guidance, denn Jinko hat ja erwähnt, dass in Japan die Modulpreise nur zwischen 0,57 bis 0,59 $ liegen und in China bei nur noch 0,55 $/W. Das wird mit Sicherheit Spuren hinterlassen bei den Gewinnmargen nicht nur in Q4, sondern auch in Q1 2015.
First Quarter of 2015 Guidance
The Company expects to ship between 840 MW to 870 MW of PV modules, of which 60 MW to 70 MW of PV modules will be shipped to the Company's downstream PV projects.
Fiscal Year 2015 Guidance 2015
Manufacturing Capacity The Company expects to achieve annualized capacity at the end of 2015: Ingot production capacity of approximately 2.8 GW Wafer capacity of approximately 2.3 GW PV cell capacity of approximately 3.5 GW Module capacity of approximately 4.8 GW
The addition of 500 MW cell and 800 MW of module capacity in 2015 will partially come from the low-cost overseas manufacturing facilities that the Company is planning to build or jointly build with local partners in select countries outside of China. The addition of wafer and ingot capacity increase mainly come from equipment update and technology advancement as well as working with domestic partners.
The Company expects total PV module shipments between 4.4 GW and 4.6 GW, of which 700 MW to 800 MW of PV modules will be shipped to the Company's downstream projects. The total shipment volume represents an increase of 20% to 26 % from 2014. The Company expects to connect to the grid of 700 MW and 750 MW of downstream PV power projects across the world, including 30%-40% of DG projects in China. - See more at: http://ir.trinasolar.com/...ticle&ID=2022493#sthash.WrWnGzZT.dpuf
Guidance for the full-year 2015 included total PV module shipments of between 4.4GW and 4.6GW, of which 700MW to 800MW of PV modules will be shipped to its downstream projects. The total shipment volume represents an increase of 20% to 26% from 2014.
20-26% Wachstum ist ganz ordentlich....?
Q1-Guidance ähnlich wie bei Jinko. Trina erwartet in Q1 zu Q4 einen Absatzrückgang von um die 200 MW bzw. 19%. Bei Jinko waren es ja um die 140 MW bzw. auch 19%. Normalerweise erwähnt ja Trina in ihren Pressemeldungen zum Ergebnis immer auch ihre Bruttomragenguidance, aber diesmal nicht.
Die Zahlen liegen über den Erwartungen, aber die Gewinnmargen sind nach wie vor mickrig und in Q1 werden sie mit aller Wahrscheinlichkeit noch mickriger werden. Mal sehen wie heute Nachmittag die US-Börse auf diese Zahlen antwortet, denn dann kann wohl darauf schließen wie die Börse von den zu erwartenden Margenrückgängen reagiert. Das wird jedenfalls für mich großen Einfluss haben ob ich mich von Jinko temporär verabschieden werde oder nicht.
ReneSola Ltd Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2014 Results
JIASHAN, China, March 4, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- ReneSola Ltd ("ReneSola" or the "Company") (www.renesola.com) (NYSE: SOL), a leading brand and technology provider of energy-efficient products, today announced its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2014.
Fourth Quarter 2014 Financial and Operating Highlights
•Total solar module shipments were 488.4 megawatts ("MW"), exceeding previous guidance and representing an increase of 5.7% from Q3 2014. Total solar wafer and module shipments in Q4 2014 were 744.3 MW, representing an increase of 12.1% from 663.9 MW in Q3 2014, and a decrease of 5.1% from 784.1 MW in Q4 2013.
•Net revenues were US$387.0 million, representing an increase of 3.9% from US$372.5 million in Q3 2014, and a decrease of 11.8% from US$438.8 million in Q4 2013.
•Gross profit was US$51.2 million with a gross margin of 13.2%, compared to gross profit of US$57.1 million with a gross margin of 15.3% in Q3 2014, and gross profit of US$49.7 million with a gross margin of 11.3% in Q4 2013.
•Operating loss was US$2.2 million with an operating margin of negative 0.6%, compared to an operating income of US$8.5 million with an operating margin of 2.3% in Q3 2014, and an operating income of US$8.8 million with an operating margin of 2% in Q4 2013.
•Net loss attributable to holders of ordinary shares was US$8.1 million, representing basic and diluted loss per share of US$0.04 and basic and diluted loss per American depositary share ("ADS") of US$0.08.
•Cash and cash equivalents plus restricted cash totaled $221.7 million as of the end of Q4 2014, compared to US$196.7 million as of the end of Q3 2014, and US$348.9 million as of the end of Q4 2013.
•Net cash inflow from operating activities was US$48.8 million compared to net cash outflow from operating activities of US$10.7 million in Q3 2014, and net cash outflow from operating activities of US$29.5 million in Q4 2013.
Full Year 2014 Financial and Operating Highlights
•Total solar module shipments were 1,970.3 MW, representing an increase of 14.0% from 1,728.8 MW for full year 2013. Total solar wafer and module shipments were 2,816.4 MW, representing a decrease of 10.5% from 3,146.5 MW for full year 2013.
•Net revenues were US$1,561.5 million, an increase of 2.8% from US$1,519.6 million in 2013.
•Gross profit was US$209.3 million with a gross margin of 13.4%, compared to a gross profit of US$113.1 million with a gross margin of 7.4% in 2013.
•Operating income was US$8.2 million with an operating margin of 0.5%, compared to an operating loss of US$222.1 million with an operating margin of negative 14.6% in 2013.
•Net loss attributable to holders of ordinary shares was US$33.6 million, representing basic and diluted loss per share of US$0.17 and basic and diluted loss per ADS of US$0.33.
•Net cash outflow from operating activities was US$114.8 million, compared to net cash inflow from operating activities of US$118.6 million in 2013.
Heute reicht es bisher nicht mal für einen erneuten Test der 23$.
Deshalb habe ich vorsichtshalber nun knapp 1/3 raus.
Möchte nicht wieder mit meinem gesamten Kapital eine Rutsche nach unten mitmachen.
P.S. Hoffe natürlich das ich mich irre und wir morgen mit Canadian die 23$ endlich rausnehmen...
VG
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