Thompson Creek Metals (Blue Pearl Mng)
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Molybdenum trioxide prices have leapt 12% in Europe since last week, with the finger pointed at continued buying from the Far East, the return of European end-consumers, a brief strike at Codelco in Chile and speculation.
Material is now trading at $15.25-$15.75/lb, having fetched $13.50-13.75/lb last week. Since the bells rang in 2010 material has added 22.5%.
...
www.metal-pages.com/news/story/44356
Eines unserer Crewmitglieder muss leider ein karges Leben unter Deck in der Hundekoje frissten. Also, sollte der Rum hier irgendwann wieder fliessen, immer auch ein Gläschen nach unten reichen :-)
Moly mines sehen ebenfalls sehr gut aus :-)
Hi,
keine Angst, wir bekommen das noch mit...
Ich hab mich vor genau 1 Jahr für 3,30 eingedeckt und im Dezember 2008 auch schon mal bei 2,51 zugeschlagen...
Heute hat meine Teil- Verkaufsorder ( 30%) die ich auf 10,17 gesetzt hatte gegriffen.
Ab und zu sollte man ja auch mal Gewinne mitnehmen...
Gruß
Markus
Aufgrund des schwächeren Euros die letzten Tage und der guten Entwicklung in New York sollten wir heute morgen etwa bei 10,50 € eröffnen.
Grüße an alle
Molybdenum prices on a sustainable upswing: JP Morgan
By Liana B. Baker, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Prices for molybdenum, a base metal used to make stainless steel, will likely rise 55% in the next two years, JP Morgan analysts said Thursday.
"We also see more sustainability in the recent surge in moly prices compared to the spike this summer," analysts led by Michael Gambardella wrote in a report on Canadian molybdenum miner Thompson Creek Metals.
"Moly inventories remain very lean," they wrote.
The price for the metal is currently about $15.5 a pound, which is up from $10.70 in November.
Gambardella anticipates prices will climb to $21 by the end of this year and $24 by the fourth quarter of 2011 as global industrial output expands.
Based on the expected rise in molybdenum prices, J.P. Morgan expects Thompson Creek will make $2.25 a share in 2011, up 68% from an expected $1.34 a share this year.
The brokerage kept its 12-month price target for Thompson Creek shares at $19 a share.
Shares rose 6.7% Thursday, to $15.20 on the New York Stock Exchange.
In stainless steel, molybdenum is used along with chromium to raise corrosion resistance, according to the International Molybdenum Association.
Around 10% of world stainless steel contains molybdenum.
The metal's prices have been on the upswing since November, driven by demand from China, Japan, Korea and the U.S., as well as limited availability of scrap material.
Liana B. Baker is a MarketWatch reporter based in San Francisco.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/...se-55-in-two-years-jpm-2010-01-14
Molybdenum prices will average $18.50/lb in 2010 and $23 in 2011, according to analysts at investment bank JP Morgan. JP Morgan sees more sustainability in the recent surge in moly prices compared with the spike in August when European prices reached $17.75-$18.50/lb before falling away, analysts wrote in a note to clients.
...
www.metal-pages.com/news/story/44447
http://www.minenportal.de/artikel.php?sid=8520
New York -- Molybdenum tags shot upwards again this week as traders aggressively pushed the price and some new consumers, worried about even higher levels, entered the market.
Market participants put spot prices for molybdic oxide in a range of $14.50 to $15 per pound, up from $13 to $13.50 last week, while ferromolybdenum is between $16.50 and $17 per pound, up from $15 to $15.50 earlier in the week.
"We have a little storm brewing," one U.S.-based trader told AMM. "Last week, the traders came in and bought up a lot of material right before the mills came back on-line, which caused some supply tightness. The traders are now in the position to push prices higher. We're seeing lots of inquires from consumers this week."
The trader said that he sold a truckload of moly oxide for about $14.75 per pound Tuesday, but the market has already moved up since then. "(Ferromolybdenum) is even tighter and we're definitely at $17 (per pound)," he added.
A molybdenum buyer for a steel producer said that he got stung by bad timing. "We were one that did wait a bit too long," he said. "I really was surprised that things moved this quick. We got our feet held to the fire and paid a bit more than we would have liked—just under $15 (per pound for moly oxide)."
A second trader said that increased demand due to the steel industry ramping up production and trader speculation was the impetus behind the price run. U.S. raw steel output totaled 1,525,000 tons last week, up 3.9 percent from the previous week, as mills operated at an average capability utilization rate of 63.9 percent, according to the American Iron and Steel Institute (AMM, Jan. 13).
"Moly seems to be hot. Everybody is getting behind it and we will see where it finally ends," the second trader said. "If you were a consumer on the fence, you're saying that you have to get in. Consumers will sit there and wait and request material at the very last minute; sometimes it works to their advantage and sometimes to their disadvantage. This time it was to their disadvantage."
Another factor weighing on prices is the specter of the London Metal Exchange molybdenum contract, scheduled to launch Feb. 22.
Producers know there will be a new market soon, which means they aren't as concerned about carrying inventory, a third trader said. "There seems to be a waiting game for Feb. 22. The producers are keeping stock at bay because they know that come the end of February they can sell it into that market. That means consumers are having problems getting offers. It seems to me that (moly) is a bubble in the making."
A fourth trader said that prices could explode, but the Chinese are selling some moly back into the market at the higher prices. However, the current price run shows no signs of abating, he added. "Well, all of the sudden we have a moly market. People are certainly buying stuff. The numbers we are quoting here are just under $17 per pound (for ferromolybdenum) and our guys in Europe say the number is $36 per kilogram ($16.33 per pound)."
European drummed molybdic oxide has climbed to $15 to $16 per pound from $13.50 to $14 previously, and offers are already in the market above the new range. Western-grade ferromolybdenum rose to $36 to $38 per kilogram from $33 to $34.50 previously, according to AMM sister publication Metal Bulletin.
"I have a basket of four or five regular suppliers. One said he couldn't offer and another had only 10 tonnes," one European consumer said about the market tightness there."
http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_(A_to_Z)/...;tof=3&off=1
Damals (im Moly-Boom) reichte es jedoch nur für 18,60 Euro, danach ging's abwärts bis 1,90 Euro.
Schon vergessen??
Thursday, 21 Jan 2010
TEX reported that on the occasion of 2010, the composition of molybdenum is anticipated to change largely. In the past years, the quantity of molybdenum consumed by steel companies had shared nearly 60% of the whole demand and was a main factor to influence on molybdenum prices. The demand for molybdenum from steel companies has still kept a large weight but, at the opportunity to list molybdenum on LME from February of 2010, new composition of molybdenum is expected to be built up.
The molybdenum dealing for three-month futures at LME is scheduled to commence from February 22nd 2010 but its function will need a certain time to search. Therefore, it has been viewed that, when the parties concerned could have well known about the molybdenum dealing at LME, molybdenum price quoted on LME will exhibit a power to influence on the market from 2011.
The open pricing at LME should bring a transparency in molybdenum business and the consumers concerned are thought to have been convinced by this open pricing at LME.
The demand for molybdenum in China is forecasted to put a substantial impact on molybdenum prices in 2010, following the same case in 2009. China has suddenly changed in 2009 from the country to export molybdenum as continued for more than 10 years to that to import molybdenum. In line with the strengthened policy to preserve natural resources as adopted by the Central Government of China, molybdenum has been still maintained as the objective material to regulate its exports. The Government said to follow this policy in 2010 and to keep the measure to allocate quantities for specified exporters. In view of the actual quantity of molybdenum exported by China in 2009, the exports of Chinese molybdenum seem to put a slight impact on the world market of molybdenum.
Market price of molybdenum oxide fluctuated to a considerable extent in 2009. The movements of price for molybdenum oxide in 2009 were USD 18.30 per pound of Mo as a higher side (recorded in August) and USD 7.70 as a lower side (recorded in April) and a differential of these two prices came to USD 10.60 per pound of Mo. This large fluctuation on price of molybdenum oxide was affected by the Lehman shock arisen in September of 2008.
(Sourced from TEX Report Limited)
http://steelguru.com/news/index/MTI5NTgz/...and_outlook_for_2010.html
Molybdenum
In advance of the case to list price of molybdenum oxide on LME from the 22nd February of 2010, the traders concerned are moving to purchase molybdenum on speculation and molybdenum prices have risen to a substantial extent. Market price of molybdenum oxide has already reached a level of US$15 per lb. of Mo, having risen by 30% compared with that in December of last year. It was widely informed that a trader started from December of last year to purchase molybdenum and has now held 1,000 tons of molybdenum, having caused to stimulate a further rise of molybdenum prices. In the past years, owing to a scarcity of spot cargoes, traders had retreated from actual transactions on molybdenum. Also, the business to export Chinese ferro-molybdenum was only the case left for traders but even this transaction has been restrained from 2 - 3 years ago. Consequently, the functions to be performed by traders have shrunk. However, the dealing of molybdenum at LME is inaugurated and traders will be able to exhibit their functions for hedging. Accordingly, molybdenum prices are anticipated to fluctuate very much.
http://www.texreport.co.jp/xenglish/eng-genryou/...01181109Mon-4.html
Ein Molybdänengpass wie in 2007 (oder auch nur die Angst davor) ist nicht mehr zu erwarten. Zu viele "Near-Time-Produzenten" stehen in den Startlöchern.
Allenfalls im Zuge einer Hyperinflation oder einer Übernahme wird TCM die einstigen Höchstkurse noch einmal erreichen können...
Ich kann es ehrlich nicht beurteilen, aber ich denke, dass es zumindest langfristig bei Molybdän zu beliebigen Preisteigerungen kommt, aufgrund der Resourcenausbeutung und der allgemeinen Rohstoffverteuerung.
Man muss halt auch sehen, wie es wirklich um die Near-Time-Produzenten steht. Ich würde mal davin ausgehen, dass sie nicht so erfolgreich produzieren werden (wenn überhaupt), wie sie es darstellen, denn jeder verkauft sich so gut er kann. Letztendlich kann man es nicht wirklich wissen, der Preis wird weiterhin stark schwanken.
Hinzukommt ja jetzt noch der neue Moly-Handelsplatz LME ab 22. Februar, der ja für größere Preisschwankungen sorgen wird. Also unter den Umständen haben wir für kurzfristig höhere Kurse schon auch gute Chancen.
Spannend wird bestimmt auch der unmittelbare Handelstart am 22.
Also alles offen und bestimmt positiv für die Zukunft ;-)
Von den übertriebenen Kursvorstellungen vergangener Tage habe ich mich allerdings verabschiedet.
Beim Erreichen der 15Euro-Marke werde ich definitiv die Hälfte meiner Shares verkaufen...
NYSE: TC
TSX: TCM, TCM.WT
Frankfurt: A6R
TORONTO, Jan. 25 /CNW/ - Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc. ("Company"), one of the world's largest publicly traded, pure molybdenum producers, today confirmed it will use U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("US GAAP") when it discloses its 2009 fiscal year end financial results in February 2010. The Company had previously disclosed its financial results using Canadian generally accepted accounting principles ("Canadian GAAP"). All dollar amounts below are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated.
The Company previously announced on November 5, 2009 that more than 50% of its outstanding shares were held by U.S. residents, and consequently it is required to comply with U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission public reporting filing requirements as of January 1, 2010. As a result, the Company will prepare its 2009 consolidated financial statements (including the recast of previously reported annual and quarterly financial statements) in accordance with US GAAP instead of Canadian GAAP.
There will be several impacts to the Company's fiscal 2009 consolidated results from the adoption of US GAAP, but the most significant is the US GAAP accounting treatment of the Company's 24,504,000 outstanding warrants (exercisable at CDN$9.00 per common share until October 23, 2011). The warrants are traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol TCM.WT.
Under Canadian GAAP, these outstanding warrants have been classified in equity. However, under US GAAP, since the exercise price of these warrants is denominated in Canadian dollars instead of the Company's functional currency (U.S. dollars), each reporting period the Company is required to reclassify these warrants as a derivative liability and adjust them to fair value each period through a non-cash increase or decrease to consolidated net income.
Despite the US GAAP accounting treatment described above, only one of two scenarios can occur with regard to these warrants. If the warrants are exercised, the Company will receive cash proceeds of CDN$9.00 per warrant exercised and issue shares of the Company's common stock. Or, alternatively, if the warrants expire unexercised, no cash proceeds will be received and no common shares will be issued. The warrant holders' right to exercise these warrants expires in October 2011. The Company believes it is important to note that under either of these two scenarios, there is no possibility for a cash outlay by the Company other than minor administrative expenses related to the exercise of warrants.
Additional information regarding this accounting treatment is available in Management's Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2009 that was issued on November 5, 2009.
The market value of the outstanding warrants was approximately $22 million on January 1, 2009 (equivalent to CDN$27 million or CDN$1.10 for each warrant outstanding) and was approximately $115 million on December 31, 2009 (equivalent to CDN$121 million or CDN$4.93 for each warrant outstanding). As discussed above, the change in the fair value of these warrants in fiscal 2009 will result in a pre-tax non-cash charge in the Company's 2009 consolidated statement of operations of approximately $93 million. This pre-tax charge will be applied as an "other expense" deduction in the Company's fiscal 2009 consolidated statement of operations.
As a result of this non-cash charge related to the warrants, the Company expects to report a net loss for fiscal 2009. Excluding this non-cash charge related to the warrants, the Company expects to report adjusted net income for fiscal 2009. The Company is currently in the process of finalizing its fiscal 2009 year-end results and the related audit. More details of the Company's 2009 financial performance will be provided when the Company announces its 2009 financial results, which is planned to occur after the market closes on February 25, 2010.
The Company's quarterly and annual earnings for 2010 and 2011 will also be impacted by non-cash gains or charges related to the change in the market value of the warrants until the warrants are either exercised or expire in October 2011.
About Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc.
Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc. is one of the largest publicly traded, pure molybdenum producers in the world. The Company owns the Thompson Creek open-pit molybdenum mine and mill in Idaho, a metallurgical roasting facility in Langeloth, Pennsylvania and a 75% share of the Endako open-pit mine, mill and roasting facility in northern British Columbia. Thompson Creek is evaluating the Mount Emmons Deposit, a high-grade underground molybdenum deposit near Crested Butte, Colorado. Thompson Creek has an option to acquire up to 75% of the Mount Emmons Deposit. The Company is continuing to pursue permitting of the Davidson Deposit, a high-grade underground molybdenum deposit near Smithers, B.C. The Company has approximately 750 employees. Its principal executive office is in Denver, Colorado, and it also has an office in Toronto, Ontario. More information is available at www.thompsoncreekmetals.com.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
--------------------------------------------------
This news release contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities legislation which may include, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the timing and amount of estimated future production. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as "plans", "expects", "is expected", "budget", "scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "intends", "anticipates", or "believes" or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will" be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Thompson Creek and/or its subsidiaries to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Such factors include the future price of molybdenum, the estimation of mineral reserves and resources, the realization of mineral reserve estimates and those factors discussed in the section entitled "Risk Factors" in Thompson Creek's current annual information form which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and is incorporated in its Annual Report on Form 40-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission which is available at www.sec.gov. Although Thompson Creek has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. Forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this news release and Thompson Creek does not undertake to update any such forward-looking statements, except in accordance with applicable securities laws. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
Readers should refer to Thompson Creek's current annual information form which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and is incorporated in its Annual Report on Form 40-F filed with the SEC which is available at www.sec.gov and subsequent continuous disclosure documents available at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov for further information on mineral reserves and mineral resources, which is subject to the qualifications and notes set forth therein.
For further information: Wayne Cheveldayoff, Director of Investor Relations, Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc., Tel: (416) 860-1438, Toll free: 1-800-827-0992, wcheveldayoff@tcrk.com; Dan Symons, Renmark Financial Communications Inc., Tel.: (514) 939-3989, dsymons@renmarkfinancial.com
Ich möchte mal wissen, wer hier jetzt derartige Stückzahlen verkauft, nur weil sich einmalig rein buchmäßig Anpassungsverluste aus US - Gap ergeben?! Das hat m.E. nichts, aber auch gar nichts mit den glänzenden operativen Aussichten zu tun!
Schönen Gruß von bull2000
schreit alles nach Korrektur , da Interessieren auch die besten Nachrichten nicht .
Dow und Co. haben die Deutschen Aktienmärkte heute Nachmittag erstmal richtig
erschreckt und Drehen dann ins Plus . Es hängt eben alles von den AMI`s ab .
This is playing into the whole theme of how stable are commodity prices currently. Has been hit with a pullback in commodities in the last few days. Has very good sponsorship. Still too expensive for him.
Seine Aussage, dass der Kurs für die aktuellen Rohstoffpreise zu hoch erscheint, scheint mir gerechtfertigt. Aber angeblich ist die Börse mit ihren Kursen der Entwicklung der Wirtschaft ja immer sechs Monate im Voraus. Gleichwohl denke ich, dass die Aussichten auf sechs Monate nicht so toll sind, dass der aktuelle Kurswert gerechtfertigt ist. Meine Einschätzung ist, dass ir bis September/Oktober noch Kurse unter 6 € sehen werden. Das werden die Longs zwar nicht gerne hören; aber dasist halt meine Meinung.