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After four months of negotiations, the platinum sector has managed to avert a strike as three major producers inked a wage deal with the majority union.
At a ceremony on Friday, the Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union (Amcu) signed the deal with platinum miners Anglo American Platinum (Amplats), Impala Platinum and Sibanye-Stillwater.
The settlement has been upheld by the parties as fair and in the medium term is expected to bring stability to a sector that has been a hotspot since tensions culminated in the Marikana massacre in August 2012 when police killed 34 protesters.
Amcu president Joseph Mathunjwa said a basic monthly increase of R1,000 a worker per annum amounted to more than R5.7bn in total over the next three years and would benefit employees as well as their local economies.
Amcu has been negotiating with the country’s biggest platinum miners since July when its initial demand was as high as a 48% increase for workers.
In the final deal, Amplats agreed to an increase of R1,000 a month in basic pay, or 5.5%, whichever is greater, for each year of the agreement. The settlement includes other benefits, such as ex gratia payments of R1,000 in July 2020 and R1,500 in July 2021.
Sibanye-Stillwater has agreed to an annual increase of R1,000 a month, or a 5% increase, whichever is higher. Implats agreed to an increase of R1,100, or 6%.
In October, Amcu stood firm that it would not accept less than a R1,000 increase in workers’ monthly wages and deferred negotiations with Amplats and Sibanye to the Commission for Conciliation, Mediation and Arbitration (CCMA).
On Friday, Mathunjwa said he had not expected that negotiations would take four months, given the high platinum group metals (PGM) prices.
The companies said they were pleased to have reached a fair settlement that was sustainable for both their businesses and their employees.
Arnold van Graan, mining analyst at Nedbank Corporate & Investment Banking, said any deal that avoids a strike is a good deal, as there are no winners in a strike.
“We also believe each company paid what it could afford, without jeopardising its long-term viability. So it seems like it was a good comprise in the end. With the wage deal in place, everyone can get on with the business of fixing the industry,” he said.
Peter Major, director of mining at Mergence Corporate Solutions, said he thought the settlement was reached relatively quickly and that the agreements were generous of the mining companies.
Major said the deal was a bit of a gamble on the part of the PGM mines that current, high precious metal prices will last but, ultimately, “a three-year settlement is really good for industry. That’s why they paid more than they needed to.”
Major said Mathunjwa comes off well, having handled the negotiations maturely, and deserves recognition for brokering such a settlement without a strike.
Palladium - Quo vadis?
Der Preis für das Edelmetall erreicht ein Rekordhoch nach dem nächsten. Was steckt dahinter und vor allem: Hält der Lauf weiter an?
Bild: © Steve-Young / Fotolia.com
Bernd Lammert - Redakteur Fundamental
Bernd Lammert
Redakteur Fundamental
Palladium - Kürzel: XPD/USD - ISIN: XC0009665529
Börse: Commerzbank CFD / Kursstand: 1.770,750 $/oz.
London/Frankfurt (Godmode-Trader.de) - Solch eine Performance hat Seltenheitswert. Seit August 2018 befindet sich der Palladiumpreis in einem Aufwärtstrend. Zwischenzeitliche Korrekturverläufe, etwa im Frühjahr dieses Jahres, als die Notiz Ende März innerhalb weniger Tage um fast 300 Dollar (von 1.600 auf 1.343 USD) je Unze zurückfiel, wurden schnell zurückgekauft. Bereits Anfang Juli hatte der Preis den Rücksetzer wieder eingeholt, nur um über den Sommer umso schneller nach oben zu driften, bis auf 1.826 Dollar/Unze in der Allzeitspitze.
WERBUNG
Die Headline: „Palladium klettert auf neues Rekordhoch“ war dieses Jahr in schöner Regelmäßigkeit zu lesen. Aktuell notiert der Preis in Lauerstellung bei 1.770 Dollar/Unze, um die Marke von 1.800 Dollar erneut anzugreifen. Der Goldpreis hat sich derweil wieder unterhalb der Marke von 1.500 Dollar festgesetzt. Aktuell ist Palladium somit rund 300 US-Dollar teuer als Gold, was in der langen Perspektive ein seltenes Phänomen ist.
Ein wesentlicher Grund für die starke Performance speist sich aus dem Angebotsdefizit bei Palladium. Aus Sicht der Rohstoffexperten von der Commerzbank ist der Palladiummarkt seit Jahren chronisch unterversorgt. Weltweit gibt es nur sehr wenige produzierende Regionen und kaum bekannte wirtschaftlich nutzbare Erze. Das Wachstum des Minenangebots ist begrenzt. Dazu kommt die Marktsteuerung Russlands, immerhin steht das Land für 40 Prozent der weltweiten Fördermenge. Um die negativen finanziellen Folgen der westlichen Sanktionen in Folge des Krieges in der Ukraine wettzumachen, sorgt Moskau für eine stabile Ausfuhrmenge und hält den Markt damit künstlich im Defizit. Das Ziel ging bisher auf: Der Preis stieg und stieg, die Einnahmen für Moskau ebenso.
Anders als Platin, das hauptsächlich in Dieselkatalysatoren Anwendung findet, profitierte Palladium im Zuge der Dieselkrise von der neuen Beliebtheit von Benzin-Motoren. Die Nachfrage der Autoindustrie wurde durch strengere Abgasnormen in Europa und China noch zusätzlich angeheizt, weil dadurch der Bedarf an dem Metall pro Autoeinheit weiter anstieg.
Sollte Palladium aufgrund seiner Ähnlichkeit mit dem aktuell deutlich günstigeren Brudermetall Platin nicht durch selbiges ersetzt werden - die sog. Substitution scheint sich bei den derzeitigen Preisdifferenzen immer mehr zu rechnen - könnte die Palladiumrally weiterlaufen. Mittelfristig scheint jedoch Platin als Substitutionsmetall eine Rolle zu spielen, vorerst ist davon jedoch nicht auszugehen.
Palladium – das Metall der Autoindustrie
Von Feingold Research (Nicolas Saurenz)Vor 16 Minuten (25.11.2019 11:06)
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Die Edelmetalle haben sich in diesem Jahr sehr positiv entwickelt, mit einem Plus von rund 40 Prozent überragt aber Palladium, das auch noch einen neuen Rekordstand erreicht hat. Die Nachfrage aus der Automobilindustrie ist enorm, sie dürfte auf absehbare Zeit auch hoch bleiben und den Palladiumpreis stützen. Anleger mit langem Horizont können hier bei Ophirum auch in physisches Palladium investieren. Trader greifen zum Turbo-Bear MC4NWM oder Turbo-Bull SR15TL.
Der Verkauf von E-Automobilen kommt weltweit nur schleppend voran und muss daher mit Subventionen gefördert werden. Erst in dieser Woche haben Regierung und deutsche Automobilindustrie auf dem Autogipfel beschlossen, die Anreize für einen E-Autokauf zu verbessern. Die Subventionen werden erhöht und bis 2025 verlänger t. Außerdem soll die Infrastruktur ausgebaut werden: Bis zum Jahr 2022 sind 50.000 neue Ladestationen geplant. Während Deutschland das E-Auto stärker fördern will, gehen die Chinesen nach jahrelangen Subventionen genau den entgegengesetzten Weg und reduzieren die Anreize zum Kauf eines E-Autos schrittweise. Bereits im nächsten Jahr sollen die Subventionen sogar ganz auslaufen.
Diese Aussichten sorgen bereits für einen Einbruch bei den E-Autoverkäufen in China. Zwar trifft die Abkühlung der Weltwirtschaft den gesamten chinesischen Automarkt, doch E-Fahrzeuge haben zuletzt mit einem Absatzeinbruch von mehr als 30 Prozent besonders stark gelitten. Der Wegfall der Subventionen kommt den Automobilen mit Benzinmotoren in China zugute und damit auch der Palladiumnachfrage. Denn das Edelmetall wird überwiegend für Katalysatoren in Benzinmotoren gebraucht. Diese Verwendung von Palladium ist auch der Grund warum die Automobilindustrie für mehr als 80 Prozent der jährlichen Palladiumnachfrage verantwortlich ist. Ein größerer Palladiumeinsatz wird auch dafür benötigt, die strengeren Abgasvorschriften, etwa in Europa und China, einzuhalten.
Hohes Angebotsdefizit bleibt
Ein Wehrmutstropfen sind die schwachen Automobilverkäufe in diesem Jahr, allerdings konnten sie sich in Europa und den USA zuletzt stabilisieren. Daher wird mit einem anhaltenden Angebotsdefizit bei Palladium gerechnet. Dem Katalysatorenhersteller Johnson Matthey (LON:JMAT) zufolge wird es in diesem Jahr bei Palladium ein Angebotsdefizit von 800.000 Unzen geben. Der Palladiumproduzent Nornickel erwartet, dass diese Entwicklung auf der Angebotsseite trotz einer zuletzt gestiegenen Förderung anhalten wird, weil die Nachfrage nach Palladium hoch bleibt.
Ein Risikofaktor für die Absatzentwicklung ist allerdings ein neuer Handelsstreit zwischen den USA und der EU. Sollte die US-Regierung aufgrund der unerlaubten Subventionen für Europas Flugzeughersteller Airbus (PA:AIR) ihr Ankündigung in die Tat umsetzen und Zölle auf Autos und Autoteile einführen, wird die Autokonjunktur weiter leiden. Durch die hohe Abhängigkeit von Palladium an der Automobilwirtschaft würden sich Handelsbeschränkungen negativ auf die Palladiumnachfrage auswirken.
Diese Befürchtungen wirken sich aktuell aber nicht negativ auf den Palladiumpreis aus, der vor kurzem einen neuen Rekord bei 1.827 Dollar je Unze geschafft hat und zum ersten Mal überhaupt die Marke von 1.800 Dollar übertroffen hat. Damit wurde aber auch eine andere historische Marke erreicht: Palladium war in dieser Zeit doppelt so teuer wie Platin. Das gab es vorher noch nie, inzwischen hat Platin aber wieder etwas aufholen können.
Platinum catch-22 prevents miners tapping world’s hottest metals
22nd November 2019
By: Bloomberg
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JOHANNESBURG – South African miners face a conundrum: increasing palladium and rhodium output to take advantage of soaring prices risks depressing the already fragile market for sister metal platinum.
That’s because palladium and rhodium are mined as byproducts, with every extra ounce of the former typically coming with two to three additional ounces of platinum. Stricter emissions standards have boosted palladium and rhodium consumption in autocatalysts for gasoline cars. By contrast, the backlash against diesel vehicles, where most platinum gets used, has seen the metal languish.
Consequently, some of the world’s biggest platinum miners, including Sibanye Gold and Impala Platinum Holdings, are loathe to boost production, even as palladium’s eight-year supply deficit could widen in 2020.
“They can’t increase production because the main metal is platinum and they don’t want to make the price come down,” said Rene Hochreiter, an analyst at Noah Capital Markets in Johannesburg.
Platinum has rallied 15% this year from a decade low, but demand is forecast to drop in 2020, pushing the market back into a surplus. Palladium has jumped 40% in 2019, while rhodium has surged 144%.
“Expanding production to try and benefit from higher rhodium and palladium prices can be quite risky,” said James Wellsted, a Johannesburg-based spokesperson for Sibanye. “Most companies seem reluctant to raise production in South Africa due to the possible impact it will have on the platinum price.”
The rally in palladium and rhodium is extending the life of older shafts along Rustenburg’s platinum belt, but producers aren’t rushing to invest in new mines, according to Johan Theron, a spokesman for Implats. Boosting production would make the platinum market “even more supplied,” he said.
Given the geological and market restraints, Implats expects output from South Africa’s mines to start declining over the next five years. New projects in South Africa would take years to develop, while those in neighboring Zimbabwe may be stymied by political and economic uncertainty, he said.
Anglo American Platinum, the most profitable of South Africa’s producers, will make a final decision on whether to expand its Mogalakwena mine at the end of 2020, according to spokesperson Jana Marais. Unusually, the company’s flagship mine produces more palladium than platinum, but Amplats must weigh the prospects for power supply from South Africa’s troubled state-owned utility before moving forward, she said.
Sibanye-Stillwater bails from WPIC, Implats says departure is “big loss” to organisation
By
David McKay -
November 20, 2019
SIBANYE-Stillwater confirmed it was heading out of the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC), saying that as “a new kid on the block” the company had a different take on how to stimulate demand for platinum group metals (PGMs).
“We’re not sure marketing platinum as the investment product is quite right,” said James Wellsted. BusinessLive earlier reported Sibanye-Stillwater would quit the organisation by the year-end, saying it was “no longer aligned” to its strategy.
The WPIC would lose a significant part of its budget as PGM producers contribute to the entity in proportion to their market share.
“It’s a big loss on the budget side of things,” said Johan Theron, spokesman for Impala Platinum (Implats) which is the world’s third largest PGM producer. “But it’s also a big hit not to have the world’s largest PGM producer on the council,” he said.
“We will think about things; we support marketing of platinum as an investment especially in jewellery,” he said when asked if Implats might also pull its support for the WPIC. The WPIC’s other main shareholder is Anglo American Platinum (Amplats), the listed subsidiary of Anglo American, which is considering its response to the development.
Wellsted his company would remain members of the Platinum Guild, another industry body which focuses on promotion of PGMs in jewellery. He added that Sibanye-Stillwater was “not trying to prove something” now that it had become the largest PGM producer after the takeover of Lonmin’s facilities in April.
“Our perspective is that it’s a basket of PGMs,” he said. The WPIC, which also has other PGM producers such as Northam Platinum and Royal Bafokeng Platinum as members, has focused on promoting platinum bars as well as jewellery.
However, the jewellery market has been disappointing with demand continuing to fall in China, a major market.
According to the WPIC estimates published in July, incremental annual demand for platinum bar and other investment products “… could be in the hundreds of thousands of ounces in two to three years”.
Wellsted said investors were smart enough to recognise the benefits of PGMs when the fundamentals presented themselves. “We would look at funding research with fabricators to develop substitution – not old style substitution where palladium is entirely replaced by platinum in autocatalysts but maybe partial substitution such as in gasoline engines.”
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1786909/.../a19-17472_76k.htm
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1786909/...-17472_7ex99d1.htm
Ein sehr guter Artikel mit neuen Hintergrundinfos zu Palladium und Platin. Diese Argumente waren mir bisher nicht geläufig gewesen. Wenn diese Argumente so zutreffen, brauchen wir trotz viel Vollalität uns keine Sorgen zu machen um den Palladiumpreis. Kursziele werden hier genannt, von 2000 - ca. 3432 US Dollar bis November 2024. Vielleicht kann ja jemand den Artikel hier reinsetzen.
https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/11/29/...-stillwater-jumped.aspx
Will Sibanye Gold Continue to Surge Higher?
Contributor
Zacks Equity Research Zacks
Published
Dec 6, 2019 7:56AM EST
As of late, it has definitely been a great time to be an investor in Sibanye Gold Limited SBGL. The stock has moved higher by 5.1% in the past month, while it is also above its 20 Day SMA too. This combination of strong price performance and favorable technical, could suggest that the stock may be on the right path.
We certainly think that this might be the case, particularly if you consider SBGL’s recent earnings estimate revision activity. From this look, the company’s future is quite favorable; as SBGL has earned itself a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), meaning that its recent run may continue for a bit longer, and that this isn’t the top for the in-focus company. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
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https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/...ats-halt-mines-eskom-update-1.1360221
Platinum Gains as Sibanye, Implats Halt Mines: Eskom Update
Felix Njini and Prinesha Naidoo, Bloomberg News
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South Africa has been hit by a sixth straight day of rolling blackouts as state-owned power utility Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd. acts to prevent a total collapse of the grid after a raft of plant breakdowns. The company implemented a record level of cuts -- 6,000 megawatts -- late Monday, prompting platinum and gold mines in the country to halt operations.
Highlights So Far:
Eskom says there’s a high likelihood of cuts all week. The utility plans to cut 4,000 megawatts until late Tuesday.
Producers including Sibanye, Implats and Harmony stopped mining operations.
Rains that have soaked coal and caused flooding may continue through Friday.
Read more: Record Blackouts Shut South Africa Mines as Recession Risk Rises
Here are the latest developments, updated throughout the day. Time stamps are local time in Johannesburg.
Platinum, palladium rise (10:30 a.m.)
Platinum and palladium led gains among major precious metals after South African producers said they had stopped operations. Platinum gained as much as 1.2%. Palladium rose as much as 0.6% to a fresh record of $1,894.47 an ounce, closing in on $1,900 for the first time. The metal has rallied 50% this year amid tight supply.
High likelihood of cuts all week (10 a.m.)
Eskom plans to cut 4,000 megawatts -- Stage 4 -- until 11 p.m. on Tuesday as it continues to face a shortage of generating capacity. Breakdowns are at 15,200 megawatts, the company said in a statement.
“The incessant rains continue to impact coal handling and operations at our power stations. The probability for load-shedding remains high for the rest of the week.”
Rains to continue (10 a.m.)
Heavy rains have soaked coal, which is used as fuel, and caused flooding at Eskom’s Kriel and Camden power stations, the utility said. South African Weather Service forecasts show rain in Mpumalanga, the province in which the power stations are located, will continue through Friday. Rainfall in Lephalale, near the giant Medupi plant, could reach as much as 25 mm (1 inch) today, forecasts show.
Mines close (Earlier)
Producers including Sibanye Gold Ltd., the world’s biggest platinum miner, recalled workers from underground and stopped milling ore after Eskom announced Stage 6 cuts on Monday night. No. 2 producer Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd. didn’t start the 4 a.m. underground shift Tuesday and the company has stopped milling ore and shut its smelter.
https://www.iol.co.za/business-report/companies/...tructure-38948736
Sibanye allays fears of corporate action, says it is simplifying the group structure
Companies / 10 December 2019, 12:00pm / Dineo Faku
Earlier, an anonymous analyst said that the decision to simplify the structure was likely to make it easy for Sibanye-Stillwater to house its gold assets under DRDGold. Photo: Timothy Bernard/African News Agency (ANA)
JOHANNESBURG – Sibanye-Stillwater on Monday shrugged off speculation that it was re-jigging its structure in anticipation of corporate action.
The diversified mining company published its pre-listing statement ahead on the scheme that would result in Sibanye-Stillwater becoming a holding company for the group.
Group spokesperson James Wellsted said the company was simplifying the group structure in a bid to make it more efficient.
“There is a lot of market speculation. People are speculating that we are getting ready for corporate action. However, we believe that improving the group structure is a logical step for us. It has been coming for years, and we had to work to ensure there were no tax implications,” said Wellsted.
Sibanye-Stillwater said it expected to have an issued share capital of 2.6 billion listed shares on the JSE following the implementation of the scheme.
Related Articles
It said the scheme would come into effect next February.
Earlier, an anonymous analyst said that the decision to simplify the structure was likely to make it easy for Sibanye-Stillwater to house its gold assets under DRDGold. Sibanye-Stillwater acquired a 38.05 percent stake in DRDGold last year.
“I still think that they will list their gold assets under the DRDGold banner. Gold has been a drag on Sibanye, the sooner they separate the gold and platinum assets the better,” said the analyst.
In October, Sibanye-Stillwater proposed the acquisition of the 100 percent issued capital of Sibanye-Gold Limited (SGL) through a scheme of arrangement that was subject to conditions including shareholder, JSE and the South African Reserve Bank approval.
Sibanye Gold was established in 2012 when JSE listed Gold Fields, spun off its ageing Driefontein, Kloof and Beatrix mines amid concerns about uncertainty in South Africa’s mining jurisdiction.It was listed as a separate company in 2013 on the JSE and New York .
In 2017 it created Sibanye-Stillwater after evolving from a gold to a global precious metal mining group. It consolidated the mining industry following a massive acquisition spree of companies including Aquarius Platinum, and Anglo American Platinum’s Rustenburg operations.
It also acquired Lonmin, the world's third-largest platinum producer, its associated mining, retreatment, smelter, and metal refinery assets. It also acquired Stillwater, the platinum and palladium producer in North America.
The group describes itself as the world's largest primary producer of platinum, the second-largest producer of palladium and a leading global producer of gold from diversified operations spanning southern Africa and the Americas.
It said that upon the implementation of the scheme, the Sibanye-Stillwater Board was expected to comprise the same members as the current SGL board.
The Sibanye-Stillwater management is expected to comprise the same members as the current SGL management, it said.
Sibanye-Stillwater shares rose 0.78 percent on the JSE yesterday to close at R30.85.
BUSINESS REPORT
SIBANYE-Stillwater group spokesperson James Wellsted says improving
the group structure is a logical step. | Itumeleng English African
News Agency (ANA
Steigt der Palladiumpreis 2020 auf 2.500 USD pro Unze?
Mittwoch, 11.12.2019 11:28 von Björn Junker
Palladium flirtet weiterhin mit der Rekordmarke von 1.900 USD pro Unze, nachdem in Südafrika der Betrieb auf vielen Minen auf Grund von Stromausfällen ausgesetzt werden musste.
Südafrika, der zweitgrößte Palladiumproduzent der Welt, steht vor dem sechsten Tag mit Blackouts, da der staatliche Versorger Eskom mit Problemen in seinen Anlagen zu kämpfen hat und starke Regenfälle Kohle feucht werden ließen, die zur Stromerzeugung genutzt wird.
https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/anleihen/...-gold-limited-8315529
Heute auf neuem Jahreshoch in Südafrika bei über 25 Millionen gehandelten Aktien geschlossen. Grund Platin und Palladium heute zum Teil stark angezogen. Allerdings wird es bei Platin nur vorübergehend sein, das Problem wird Eskom hoffentlich noch in dieser Woche beheben können. Ich denke schon das da ein Minus bei Sibanye enstehen wird für die entsprechenden Tage.
Da meine Restbestände von 16K Stück bereits bezahlt sind, kann ich mich jetzt zurücklehnen :-)
Danke nochmal an den Forumskollegen hier im Sibanye Forum, der mir silver lake ressources empfohlen hat. War bis hierhin auch ein Treffer.
Die nächste Sau, die durchs Dorf getrieben wird, wird Uran sein, oder glaubt hier jemand an die Ammenmärchen , das Windenergie und Photovoltaik konkurrenzfähig Energie (CO2-frei) produzieren wird ? Da muss man schon echt der grünen Propaganda erlegen sein, und naturwissenschaftlich schwer unbedarft sein. Selbst unsere Marionette Greta sagte den AKW´s eine positive Zukunft voraus, bis Sie von den deutschen Grünen zurück gepfiffen wurde.