Trading Bougainville Copper (ADRs) 867948

jo, ich hab das ganze Ding sorgfältig gelesen und finde es klingt vielversprechend.

@CCLSC
Die erste Kursverdopplung kommt schneller als erwartet, aber was mit Sicherheit passieren wird ist ne gewaltige Vola, die nur Hartgesottene mitmachen werden ohne abgeschüttelt zu werden.
Also: Rechtzeitig anschnallen.  

Beste Taktik Long bleiben und Stop Kurs sehr großzügig wählen,
wenn man nicht die Zeit hat sein Invest täglich zu beobachten!
Ich für meinen Teil bin täglich am Ball und hab deshalb "sicherheitshalber" keinen Stop gesetzt ;-)))

Hätte mir von dem Gereral Meeting keine großen Aussagen/Details
erwartet, bevor die Wahlen nicht über den Tisch sind!!!
Deshalb umso erfreulicher...

Schönes Wochenende!!!  

heute in D bereits knappe 100.000Stück! ;-)  

Die Bouggys gibst in Deutschland noch mit Rabatt  

welche um die 32 cts eingestiegen sind ihre 30% Gewinn gecasht haben.

AU Orderbuch sieht TOP aus ;-)))))))))))

http://cb.iguana2.com/netwealth2/depth/boc  

lässt für die nächsten  Wochen weiter steigende Kurse erwarten.

http://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/tt?s=BOC.AX


SHORT TERM COMMENTARY
The stock's short trem trend strength is ascending rapidly. The price is in a rally, we will now let the profits run.

MEDIUM TERM COMMENTARY
Medium term price trend Bougainville Cop change from bearish to bullish this week. This market keeps a relative behavior greater 8.4806 than MSCI-AUSTRALIA. Volatility has been increasing during last month.

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY (29/04/2010)
Last Price: 0.6
Since Dec. 31st: 13.2075%
Last Month: 22.449%
Last Week: 1.6949%
Reference Index: MSCI-AUSTRALIA
Correlation:    0.3322
  Support:      0.45 
Resistance:       0.7 
    Trend: §
Cycle phase this week: Bullish
Cycle phase last week: U1  

VectorVest Stock Analysis of Bougainville Copper as of 30/04/2010


Summary Analysis
BOC.AX is undervalued compared to its Price of $0.62 per share, has somewhat below average safety, and is currently rated a Buy.

Graphs

Bougainville Copper
                    §
Mining (Other)

Detailed Analysis

Company Information

Business: Bougainville Copper, (BOC.AX) Bougainville Copper Limited intends to dispose of the open pit mine and processing facility at Panguna on Bougainville Island in the North Solomons Province of Papua New Guinea. The company suspended its operations in the mine in May 1989. Prior to May 1989, it produced copper concentrate containing gold and silver. The company is based in Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea. Bougainville Copper Limited is a subsidiary of Rio Tinto Limited.

Capital Appreciation

Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth.  BOC.AX has a current Value of $0.82 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $0.62 per share.  Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge.

RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. BOC.AX has an RV of 1.41, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.


RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. BOC.AX has an RS rating of 0.89, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks of companies with consistent, predictable financial performance.

RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. BOC.AX has a Relative Timing rating of 1.50, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00.  RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00. RT will explode from bottoms, dive from tops, and reflect changes in price momentum. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RT ratings above 1.00.

VST (VST-Vector):  VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. BOC.AX has a VST rating of 1.30, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.

Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. BOC.AX has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.

Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position.  BOC.AX has a Stop of $0.54 per share. This is $0.08 below BOC.AX's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop.

GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. BOC.AX has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 27.00%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, as shown weekly in our investment climate report.

EPS (Earnings per Share):  EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share.  BOC.AX has a forecasted EPS of $0.02 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings.  BOC.AX has a P/E of 31.00. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 29.03. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.

EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. BOC.AX has an EY of 3.51 percent. This is above the current average of 3.28% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. BOC.AX has a GPE rating of 0.95.  High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 6.21%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.39. Therefore, BOC.AX may be considered to be undervalued.

Dividend Information

DIV (Dividend): VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. BOC.AX does not pay a dividend.

DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects dividend per share as a percent of Price. BOC.AX does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Yield rating. . DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.


DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. BOC.AX does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Safety rating . Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.

DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. BOC.AX does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Growth rating .

YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DIV, DY and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. BOC.AX does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a YSG rating . Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.

Price-Volume Data

Price: BOC.AX closed on 30/04/2010 at $0.62 per share

Open: BOC.AX opened trading at a price of $0.60 per share on 30/04/2010.

High: BOC.AX traded at a High price of $0.62 per share on 30/04/2010.

Low: BOC.AX traded at a Low price of $0.60 per share on 30/04/2010

Close: BOC.AX closed trading at price $0.62 per share on 30/04/2010. (Close is also called Price in the VectorVest system)

Range: Range reflects the difference between the High and Low prices for the day. BOC.AX traded with a range of $0.03 per share on 30/04/2010.

$Change: BOC.AX closed up 0.02 from the prior day's closing Price.

%PRC: BOC.AX's Price changed 3.33% from the prior day's closing price.

Volume: BOC.AX traded 48,128 shares on 30/04/2010.

AvgVol: AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. BOC.AX has an AvgVol of 157,000 shares traded per day.

%Vol: %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100.  BOC.AX had a %Vol of -69.35% on 30/04/2010

CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. BOC.AX has a CI rating of 0.58, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks.

Sales / Market Capitalization Information

Sales: BOC.AX has annual sales of $13,000,000

Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. BOC.AX has a Sales Growth of 104.00% per year. This is excellent. Sales Growth is updated each week for every stock. It is often useful to compare Sales Growth to Earnings Growth to gain an insight into a company's operations.

Sales Per Share (SPS): BOC.AX has annual sales of $0.03 per share. SPS can be used as a measure of valuation when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): BOC.AX has a P/S of 19.12. This ratio is also used as a measure of valuation. Here, too, it is useful when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Shares: BOC.AX has 401,000,000 shares of stock outstanding.

Market Capitalization: BOC.AX has a Market Capitalization of $248,000,000. Market Capitalization is calculated by multiplying price times shares outstanding.

Business Sector: BOC.AX has been assigned to the Mining Business Sector. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.
Industry Group: BOC.AX has been assigned to the Mining (Other) Industry Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.  

http://jobs.nzherald.co.nz/job/view/3qkk1t-/?ref=RSS

Finance & Admin Systems Adviser, Bougainville
VSA is seeking suitable applicants with experience in finance and administration systems to help strengthen the Arawa Urban Council's accounting and general administration systems:

Arawa Urban Council (AUC) was established in 2002. Currently, the Council is endeavouring to re-build its capacity to provide standard infrastructural services to the small urban population. The infrastructural services include the provision of essential health services to Arawa Town, including water, sewage disposal, health infrastructure, power reticulation, civic amenities, roads and rubbish collection. The Council is also responsible for overseeing maintenance of government houses and keeping grass in public areas cut.

The volunteer will help the Arawa Urban Council strengthen its accounting and general administration systems by ensuring the accounting and administration divisions are functioning in accordance with Councils needs, and helping new and existing staff perform efficiently and effectively.

This is a two-year assignment. VSA volunteers receive a living allowance and resettlement grants. Accommodation and insurance are provided. Travel arrangements are organised and funded by VSA.

Click HERE to visit this job profile on our website and download an assignment description and instructions on how to apply.

Click HERE to see other VSA assignments we are currently recruiting for.

VSA promotes international volunteering for development, linking New Zealanders with people working to create positive change in their communities and countries.

Visit www.vsa.org.nz  

ich versuche mal diese interresante Information den Jobcentern der Bundesanstalt für Arbeit  zugänglich zu machen.Ich wette die Position(en) könnten umgehend, mit erstklassigen deutschen Fachleuten besetzt werden  und es ginge von da an so richtig vorwärts. ;D)  

BLOOMBERG: Australien plant Minengesellschaften stärker zu besteuern...

Mehr auf den ESBC News : www.bougainville-copper.eu

 

Steuererhöhung für Rohstoffproduzenten in Australien auf 40% zeigt, daß auch die Australier den gegenwärtigen Rohstoff Boom zum Vorteil der australischen Bevölkerung nutzen - mehr nicht.

Falls sich die Bevölkerung in Bougainville eindeutig für Bergbau ausspricht, wird durch Neuaushandeln des Bergbauvertrages die Verteilung der Gewinne ein Thema.
Selbstverständlich wird die neue Regierung in Bougainville die Interessen von Bougainville vor alle anderen setzen - und selbstverständlich werde ich als Investor die Bewertung meines Investments laufend überprüfen.

Da aber der durch ungedecktes Geld erzeugte Rohstoffboom im Moment noch sehr stark ist, ist auch der für alle Beteiligten mögliche Gewinn sehr hoch.  Nicht die gerechte Verteilung der Gewinne an alle Beteiligten ist deshalb das Problem, sondern die schnellstmögliche Entscheidung durch die Bürger von Bougainville und - falls sie für Panguna ausfällt - der schnellstmögliche Beginn der Ausbildung der benötigten Arbeitskräfte zur Förderung der Rohstoffe.  

http://www.stockthewarehouse.org/...le-relics-of-conflicts-past-.html

Relics of Conflicts Past

The town of Arawa exists as a small square of suburbia, affixed like a postage stamp to the broader expanse of Bougainville, autonomous region of Papua New Guinea. Split-level housing uniformly line wide boulevards, running parallel to power-lines that have not carried electricity in over two decades.

Through the ‘70s and ‘80s, Arawa’s growth was explosive, quickly filling with the western amenities needed to satisfy an expanding population of ex-patriots. They were brought here to run Panguna copper-mine, in its time the biggest open-cast mine in the world, operating on one of the mountains that encompass the town. A once devoid of trees due to security protocols, Arawa is now post-apocalyptic in appearance – uninhabited houses collapse inwards, pavements and roads rupturing as the forest commences its reclamation of Arawa.

The 179 kilometer drive to Arawa takes more than three hours and is something out of a Ford Explorer advertisement. The cratered road falls in and out of river beds, deeper waters serviced by wooden bridges. Some of these rivers are curiously named, like Mitchell River, named after the American WWII pilot whose plane still lies upstream where it crashed. Another river is called Pit Pit. Known for its crocodiles, it was into here that both the Papua New Guinea Defense Force and the Bougainville Revolutionary Army dumped bodies during a decade long civil-war, referred to by locals as “the crisis”.

Since Papua New Guinea’s independence in 1975, Bougainville had voiced a desire for more autonomy. Geographically and culturally closer to the Solomon Islands, whatever instability existed was provided a catalyst by the commencement of mining in 1972 by Bougainville Copper Ltd., subsidiary of Rio Tinto. The mine is indicative of the regions resource wealth, the company coming across large deposits of gold and silver as it mined downwards towards the copper. However, the environmental, social and political stresses applied onto the local population eventually erupted into a war of secession, as Bougainville moved to achieve a historical precedent: the closing of a mine by an indigenous population, May 1989.

The Papua New Guinea Defense Force would move in, with helicopters and pilots supplied by the Australian military. Bougainville Copper Ltd. evacuated within days without turning the light off behind them – the power station would continue until it ran out of fuel. For their part, the Bougainville Revolutionary Army (BRA) fought back with bows-and-arrows, homemade guns, and rifles from WWII that were unearthed and refurbished. Eventually, modern weapons were purchased on the international black-market, smuggled in on boats from the Solomon Islands. A seven year blockade would also see the BRA forced to run their vehicles and boats on bio-fuel made from coconuts. Yet even as government forces were pushed out of Bougainville, internal violence would break out amongst the BRA as factions wrestled for control.

By the time a peace agreement was signed in 2001 between the government and northern and central Bougainville, and autonomy granted in 2004, the conflict had caused somewhere between 10,000 and 20,000 casualties. This number is debated due to the blockade, lack of medical supplies causing high rates of infant mortality which is hard to account for. Either way, in an overall population of around 200,000, the impact of the crisis was drastic in effect.

Today, the mining infrastructure sits in dense bush like fossilized dinosaurs. The 135-megawatt power station that once fuelled Panguna is now a shell, meticulously stripped by local scrap-metal hunters. Beside it a tank-farm slowly leaks its contents into the nearby harbor, causing small oil slicks that wash onto the beaches. Broken sections of a conveyor belt trace a dotted line from the drying facilities down to the port, where the copper was loaded onto awaiting ships. The port is now a scrap yard, the innards of one of the world’s biggest mines neatly arranged into rows. Loaded onto Chinese ships, the scrap-metal business is lucrative but highly dangerous, collected by ill-equipped hunters who sometimes find themselves crushed by the same metal they hope to sell.

The mine itself is almost inaccessible to outsiders, landowners from the south forming militias to man armed roadblocks. People still live in Arawa, moving into the neighborhoods that once formed an inner-sanctum for Rio Tinto employees. Some of Arawa found itself up in the hills, surrounding villagers dissembling houses for transport and reconstruction at higher altitudes. These villages have 24-hour electricity; alternator motors from the mine were combined with PVC pipes pulled from beneath the pavements to create miniature hydroelectric dams.

Bougainville heads to elections in 2010 where they will choose their president and members of parliament.  These are only a few of the choices they will have to address as they head towards a 2015 referendum that will decide Bougainville’s relationship with the nation of Papua New Guinea. Yet a question remains for Bougainville that is not easily answered, and it lies above Arawa, filled with gold, silver and copper.

 

...........negotiations

Die Frauenvereinigung der Panguna Landowners (BIWLA) möchten in die Verhandlungen über die Wiedereröffnung der Pangunamine involviert werden.
"Wir begrüssen die Rückkehr von BCL, alles was wir möchten ist ein Wörtchen mitzureden" ;-))))))))))))))

http://www.thenational.com.pg/?q=node/8671

THE Bougainville Indigenous Women Landowner Association (BIWLA) wants to be involved in the negotiations for the re-opening of the Panguna mine.
The association is calling on the Autonomous Bougainville Government (ABG) and Bougainville Copper Limited (BCL) to include them in the negotiation process.
BIWLA president Joan Ona and her deputy Linet Ona, from Guava Village in the no-go-zone area where the mine is located, said the women own the land and resources in Bougainville but had never been considered for any decision-making in the past.
“Now that the prospect for  re-opening the Panguna mine is high, we want to have a 50/50 representation with the men on any agreement and negotiations with all the stakeholders,” Joan said.
“We must have a say in any decision-making at the political and economical level that would affect Bougainville in any way.
“We are not opposing the menfolk or threatening the negotiation on the re-opening and return of BCL.
“We welcome BCL, all we want is to have a woman’s say in every decision made that would affect the very lives of Bougainvilleans,” Linet said.
Joan claimed that BCL had done extensive damage to their environment, culture and land during the mine’s production period that need to be compensated before re-opening and returning to Panguna.
She said one of the agendas in the re-opening negotiation with Government and the company should be the subject of association representation.
“We are a matrimonial society where women make decisions but in the previous cases, we have never been consulted and regarded as significant part of any decision.
“Now we want to have a say in any decision,” she said.
BCL chairman Peter Taylor assured the company’s annual general meeting last week in Port Moresby that landowner groups would be major stakeholders in the negotiations and be given considerable representation in any decision-making as it was crucial for the re-opening of the mine.

 

http://www.rnzi.com/pages/news.php?op=read&id=53326

Posted at 07:47 on 03 May, 2010 UTC

More than 118 polling teams and about 200 officials in Papua New Guinea are set to take up their positions at polling sites in the province of Bougainville.

Polling officially begins on Friday and the Post Courier reports that some polling teams are ready to walk to the province’s mountains which are not accessible by road, to set up booths and build residential tents.

For the first time in Bougainville’s election history, the police are also launching their election operations in the town of Arawa today.

This initiative by the province’s newly appointed police Commissioner, Thomas Elu, is designed to show that the police presence in the region can be effective.

News Content © Radio New Zealand International
PO Box 123, Wellington, New Zealand
 

bekennt sich denn nun offiziell noch als Mining-Gegner, die Me´kamuis haben sich hinter Präsident Tanis gestellt,
die Frauenvereinigung hat grundsätzlich auch nichts gegen eine Wiedereröffnung und möchte nur in die Verhandlungen mit einbezogen werden, also wer bleibt da noch übrig???
Also mir fällt da keine mehr ein...  

Das scheinen die Australier im Vorfeld der Präsidentschaftswahlen auf Bougainville auch so zu sehen

Kurs 0,65 AUD 0,455 EUR

VOL 195355

wird dort wohl immer noch gedeckelt
müsste wohl auch logisch sein
oder ist mir etwas entgangen (die vollzogene Übertragung)?  

Wo siehst du denn hier noch einen Deckel?????????????'

http://cb.iguana2.com/netwealth2/depth/boc

Noch mickrige 3800 Stück a 0,74 au$ 0,515 euro im ASK, danach ist das Orderbuch momentan komplett leer.

Commerzbank - Börsencompass: 22. April 2010
22.04.2010 - Disclaimer: Der nachfolgende Text ist eine Kolumne der Commerzbank. Der Inhalt der Kolumne wird von 4investors nicht verantwortet und muss daher nicht zwingend mit der Meinung der 4investors-Redaktion übereinstimmen. Jegliche Haftung und Ansprüche werden daher von 4investors ausdrücklich ausgeschlossen!

....

Topthema des Tages
Kupfer ist mit einer Reichweite der bekannten Reserven von 30 Jahren einer der knappsten Rohstoffe . Der Gebrauch steigt stärker als die Weltwirtschaft wächst, um ca. 5% p.a. 2010 dürfte er wegen der einsetzenden Nachfrageerholung in den OECD-Staaten aber sogar stärker zulegen. Nachdem der Kupfermarkt 2009 einen Angebotsüberschuss von 370.000 bis 770.000 t verzeichnete, dürfte sich 2010 bei einem Nachfrageanstieg von nur 5% bzw. um 900.000 t bereits ein ausgeglichener Markt ergeben. Dies ist derzeit die Markterwartung, die sich aber in Richtung Defizit für 2010 verschiebt. Dass es sogar zu einem deutlichen Defizit kommen könnte, ist noch Minderheitsmeinung, aber wahrscheinlich. Zum einen zeichnet sich aufgrund der OECD-Nachfrageerholung ein Wachstum beim Kupfergebrauch um mindestens 8% ab, d.h. um 550.000 t mehr und zum anderen ist ein Angebotszuwachs unsicher. So meldeten die Minengiganten Rio Tinto und BHP im ersten Quartal einen 16%- bzw. 19%-igen Produktionsrückgang ggü. Vorjahr vor allem aufgrund niedrigerer Erzgehalte. In Chile, das ein Drittel des Weltkupfers produziert, werden jährlich zwar etwa 5 Mrd. $ investiert, aber diese fließen vor allem in den Kapazitätserhalt, ohne dass die Produktion wesentlich ausgeweitet werden kann. Die Erschließung neuer großer Minen ist erst ab 2013 zu erwarten. So dürfte bereits 2010 ein signifikantes Defizit am Kupfermarkt entstehen, das sich in den Folgejahren noch vergrößern sollte. Dieses Szenario zieht Investmentkapital an, was den Preisauftrieb zunächst verstärkt, aber langfristig auch dazu beiträgt, dass der Angebotsengpass bereinigt wird. Wir erwarten weiter steigende Kupferpreise und mittelfristig neue Höchststände.
( extern )  

der Thread von Bougainville wird seit 1 Woche so oft ge/-besucht wie schon lange nicht mehr!
Waren es bisher zwischen 400-500 Klicks* auf diesen Thread, stehen wir aktuell bei knapp über
700 Klicks*, was mal gut 50% Steigerung ausmacht.
Ein kleiner aber wie ich denke aussagekräftiger Indikator für die weitere Kursentwicklung...

*Gerechnet wird hier mit dem Schnitt der letzten 10 Tage.  

http://www.postcourier.com.pg/20100505/wehome.htm

Tanis - happy with his achievements

By Fabian Gatana

INCUMBENT Autonomous Bou-gainville Government President James Tanis is a satisfied man —even if he does not get voted in again as the leader of the region because he said he has done a great deal in 13 months.
Mr Tanis is one of the seven candidates contesting the top post. Other candidates in the running for president are John Momis, Robert Atsir, Reuben Siara, Sylvester Niu, Martin Miriori and only woman-contestant Magdalene Toroansi.
These are his achievements in his 13 months as the president of the ABG.
* anguna landowners old and new agreement resolution to say yes to reconciliation and for the review of the BCA.
* egotiations with Chris Uma, and a memorandum of understanding within the ABG and Me’ekamui “long wok wantaim” to make sure the election goes smoothly without any factions disturbing the election, and to support the BCA and to work on other peace-related programs in the ABG.
* BEC decision to change the policy to arm ex-combatants to be used as employed constables to help with the rebuilding of Bougainville especially with factions, by peaceful means.
* With the National Government was the broad-based draw down of powers and functions across the board with five completed and yet to be handed down by the National Government.
* Administrative processes with IRC and ABG — trade and industry with ABG and the Education Division draw down and Coffee Industry Corporation with ABG and mining, third step to the process of draw down.
This is the most important which is the review of the BCA.
On the international level, he made a courtesy call on the Australian Government at the invitation of the Australian High Commissioner on behalf of the Foreign Minister of the British Government. These were powerful achievements.
ABG policies he approved under his leadership include the Bougainville investment policy and economic framework.
He also worked on legislation to strengthen democratic institutions. He received an award declaration as the human rights champion of Bougainville.
“I am still working on the policy for crisis-related grievances. I haven’t finished it yet because of the elections.”
He also outlined his personal achievement.
“In general terms, there’s been an increase in internal revenue, - confidence of the Japanese Government to build bridges because there’s confidence in security, relations with churches, donors and NGOs and most difficult of all convincing Chris Uma to join the peace process,” he said.

........BEC decision to change the policy to arm ex-combatants to be used as employed constables to help with the rebuilding of Bougainville especially with factions, by peaceful means.......

Ich kann mich noch gut an die vor einiger langer/einiger  Zeit  hier geführte Diskussion und an die von den Beteiligten vorgebrachten grossen Bedenken bezüglich des noch bewaffneten Wiederstandes (Meekamui)  erinnern.

Eine von den besonnen Threadteilnehmern  damals  vorgeschlagene Lösung (nach dem Motto,das jeder Jäger kennt...die grössten Wilddi.. werden mit der richtigen Motivation auch die besten Jagdaufseher)  scheint tatsächlich wahr zu werden.

Gute Arbeit, das ist der richtige Weg um die gesteckten Ziele zu erreichen.  

Ist das Verhältnis von Käufern zu Verkäufern in Australien

http://cb.iguana2.com/netwealth2/depth/boc

.....in the next 5 years?

Next five years from ABG. hmm.

A real plan for progress towards independence (or greater autonomy) which ever seems more appopriate. I am talking the simple basics of PROJECT MANAGEMENT here. Goals, intermediary steps, milestones, resources. Sub-tasks and so on. Pert and Gantt Charts, and most importantly - regularly reviews to ensure that delays etc don't snowball, and that budgets are kept to. This needless to say, also keeps the stakeholders (both the investors and the electorate) happy.

We have seen the error of the ways with the initial ABGs thoughts that they themselves need to get directly involved in commerical activities.  (INvincible, Sankamup II, etc) Not so - they need to be above that, and simply to facilitate business. ANd that facilitation needs to be open - no sweet heart deals selling loloho oil to the chinese, or palm oil to the indians. What delivers that open-ness - legislation and government process. There is much talk of Public Servants weilding power and favours that they shouldn't be. They are doing this, because they don't have guidelines to work to, and/or theyu aren't enforced.

Law and Order - It's a paper tiger.  The "MAgistrates" have little or no policy on which to impose penalties, there are no jail facilities, the police are understaffed. Build some jails (on islands, if necessary), fast track a "Crimes act" into legislation, ask for help from Aust/NZ in Policing (they have done it before - don't be too proud to go back and say "we need more help" - this will get more help than saying "we are handling it" when "we" are not).

There is a juggling necessary, To move forward, greater capital is needed. BCL is the most logical source of that capital (indirectly, of course). But to have BCL engaged and active to the extent that they are returning money to coffers via taxes etc will take time. It willl take time because of the processes of government - and of course those processes of government rely on money to keep them running or to accelerate them.

It may take some time to bring things to fruition. PNGov will see it's commitment wanning as greater autnomy and/or independence looms. In the interim, the ABG needs to procure other means of support - this is not rocket science - there is more than enough philanthropic money out there available literally for the asking. I have seen the AUSAID  budgets and submissions - Bougainville asked for very little - it got very little - again this comes back to the master plan - if there is a need, and it is properly budgetted, and planned and the donor agencies, see the merit, the rest is easy.

Take the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation - they have committeed USD500M to Malaria eradication, and USD 500M to education - Heck, they will throw USD100K at feasibility studies that pass their criteria. The Knght foundation gives away USD100M per year to promote education and communication (journalism). OLPC have several thousand computers sitting in a warehouse earmarked for Pacific Islands, and yet, I have had bugger all help trying to get these happening on the island.   There are numerous others. INterim sustainability needs to be part of the "Masterplan". I know of a group in Washington DC who do this "Planning" a lot for the US State Department - they go into places like Turkmanistan etc, and would out the most efficient, cost effective ways of building sustainable infrastructure, government and business. They "front" USAID and others - USAID has a USD 55 Billion dollar budget for 2011. Time to start asking...

That will do for now....

PQ