hoch - höher - am höchsten

 

Bin anfang August eingestiegen, habe jetzt noch dazugekauft.
Hoffe auf einen Wert ( in einpaar Jahren )wie bei Alcan oder Alcoa, Norsk Hydro,
BHP Billiton usw.

Übersicht :
http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aluminiummarkt

Sind keine aktuellen Daten aber wenn ich etwas neues finde werde ich mich melden.


Zitat : Alles nimmt ein gutes Ende, für den, der warten kann.

 

China's Loss Is Alcoa's Gain as Aluminum Curbs Boost Producers

Aluminum producers, the laggards of the mining boom, may rise as China reduces sales onto the world market and buys more of the metal from overseas.

China's net aluminum exports have fallen this year as the government cut tax incentives for overseas sales and curbed smelter expansion to save energy and ease pollution. The nation, the world's largest consumer of aluminum, may become a net importer of the metal next year for the first time since 2001, according to UBS AG.

Average prices on the London Metal Exchange will rise 30 percent by 2009, Sanford C. Bernstein said on Oct. 19. Morgan Stanley and UBS also forecast higher prices. That will boost the shares of the world's biggest producers: Alcoa Inc., Rio Tinto Group and Norsk Hydro ASA, UBS said. The top five, also including Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd., or Chalco, and Moscow-based United Co. Rusal, account for 38 percent of global output, according to HSBC Holdings Plc.

``The outlook for the aluminum industry is favorable because of worldwide demand,'' led by China, said Peter Klein, who helps oversee $21 billion at Fifth Third Asset Management. ``Companies like Alcoa stand to benefit from that and M&A activity in the sector as resource companies look to diversify. That story isn't finished yet.''

Cleveland-based Klein is considering buying more shares of New York-based Alcoa, he said.

Rio, the world's third-largest mining company, paid $38.1 billion this year for Alcan Inc., beating Alcoa to become the top aluminum producer. London-based Rio is forecasting global demand to gain more than 6 percent annually to 2011.

`Good for Pricing'

Since then, BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest mining company, has made a stock offer for Rio in what would be the world's largest takeover. Rusal, the second-largest aluminum producer, was created this year through the merger of OAO Russian Aluminium, OAO Sual Group and the alumina unit of Glencore International AG.

``We're seeing a consolidation theme sweep through the aluminum sector and that's going to be good for pricing,'' said Adam Dixon, who helps manage about $11.6 billion at Ausbil Dexia in Sydney, including Rio stock. ``Rio Tinto has potentially put its foot on the lowest cost production globally.''

Alcoa has gained 21 percent this year and is trading at 13 times estimated earnings. Oslo-based Hydro, Europe's second- largest aluminum producer, is trading at 10 times earnings and has jumped 20 percent this year. The Bloomberg World Mining Index is trading at 18 times earnings and has risen 72 percent.

Supply

Aluminum for immediate delivery closed at A$2,502.1 a ton on Nov. 16. It will average $3,266 a ton in 2009 according to Sanford C. Bernstein's Andrew Keen. The metal may reach a record $4,000 a metric ton as early as next year, Alexander Bulygin, chief executive officer of Rusal, said in March.

Expanding supplies may prove him wrong. Global inventories of aluminum on the LME have jumped 50 percent in the past two years. Aluminum cash prices may average 13 percent lower next year as rising inventories put pressure on prices, JPMorgan Securities Ltd. forecast last month.

``Aluminum stocks on the LME are very high,'' said Troy Angus, who helps manage $3.5 billion at Paradice Investment Management Ltd. in Sydney. ``An expectation that the Chinese will stop exporting the metal is I think a dangerous assumption to make.''

Still, producers of aluminum are predicting rising demand. China's usage will jump 30 percent this year and gain 15 percent a year until 2011, Rio Chief Executive Tom Albanese said in September. Rusal forecast in August that global demand will more than double by 2030.

`Excess Power'

China's drive to cut power consumption and reduce aluminum overcapacity may slow growth enough that the nation becomes a net importer of the metal in the fourth quarter of 2008, said Chris Ding, a Beijing-based analyst at China International Capital Corp., the nation's biggest investment bank.

The country's net aluminum exports dropped this year after the government raised export taxes in 2006 to 15 percent from 5 percent. The government also removed a tax rebate on exports of some aluminum products to curb smelter expansion. Energy accounts for about 40 percent of the metal's production cost, according to Citigroup Inc.

``Aluminum is a significant consumer of power and clearly five years ago China was an area with excess power,'' said Tim Barker, who helps manage and advise on $54 billion of assets at BT Financial Group in Sydney, including Rio. ``That excess power production has disappeared.''

The price of aluminum has lagged behind the four-to-fivefold gains of nickel and copper in the past five years, adding 81 percent.

Aluminum is smelted from alumina, a secondary material that is refined from bauxite ore.

Chalco Soars

Chinese aluminum producers such as Chalco, the country's largest producer, have benefited from restrictions placed on smaller domestic producers. The company is driving acquisitions in the industry by buying rival smelters and bauxite mines. Its shares have more than doubled on Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index this year, compared with the index's 37 percent gain.

``There's no question this is the possible opportunity for aluminum that everybody has been looking for throughout the cycle,'' said Peter Richardson, a Melbourne-based strategist at Craton Capital Ltd., which has $350 million under management. He recommends shares of ``lower-power cost companies such as Rio.''

Chalco HK -3,7% = 15,98h$

 

Fulbright Securities

Chalco (02600) The share has fallen from its recent peak of $26 to below $16. The stock is oversold. Now, it is time to buy the stock.

On technical factors alone, the stock will rebound.

Buy $16.70 Target $20.00 , Cut loss $15.00  

..nicht ganz so stark

HK Chalco -1,2% = 16,04h$

Chalco Bucks Mkt; Lifting Alumina Price
 

Aluminum Corp of China (Chalco) (2600.HK), the country's top alumina producer,

gained a further 2.3 percent to HK$16.7,

a day after saying it would raise its spot alumina price 8.5 percent.

& Gerüchte sich bei mainland Chalco wieter einzukaufen...  

Gruß DB  

Gerüchte

Originaal finde ich gerade nicht mehr:
1.Chalco kauft einen grösseren Anteil von China Chalco (mainland company)in der Höhe von 5%
2.Gleichzeitig kauft Chalco einen Anteil an einer Energieerzeugerfirma eines Anteileigners von Chalco (eigene Energieproduktion !!!)
3.Schweben immer noch die Gerüchte eiener Zusammenarbeit mit Alcoa im Raum

viel Glück

...Chalco Bid +3%; Price Hike Not Significant-CER

Chalco (2600.HK) bid up 3% at HK$16.82, perhaps in a bit of delayed reaction to yesterday's news of spot alumina price hike, which first increase since March this year, says China Everbright Research; similar to steel sector, believes price rise "is mainly driven by the rise of production cost," thus news is positive "though not significant."


...Hong Kong-listed Chalco raises alumina spot sales price by 8.5 pct

Aluminum Corporation of China Ltd (Chalco) said it has raised its alumina spot sales price by 8.5 pct to 3,800 yuan/ton from 3, 500 yuan/ton effective today.

A company official in China attributed the decision to tighter domestic supply of the chief product used in the smelting of finished aluminum.

""Recently, import volumes have fallen, and are putting pressure on domestic supply. So we are just following the market situation,"" Zhang Qing told XFN-Asia.

When asked whether the firm would make additional price moves, she said decisions were based on the market and not planned in advance.

""I really can't say when we might adjust prices again one way or the other. We closely monitor market conditions and remain flexible,"" Zhang added  

 

Chalco (2600, $17.56) 12M Target $22.0 Trading BUY

Company announced last week that it will raise its alumina selling price by 8.5% to RMB3,800 per tonne due to a supply shortage of alumina in domestic market. As company only has small portion of alumina that are being sold in the spot market, we believe the raise only has minimal impact to company’s 2007 earnings. However, the raise may induce other alumina producers to follow, thus lead to a surge in production costs for Chalco’s competitors in the primary aluminum sector and force smaller mills with marginal profits out of business.

Company acquired 49% stake of Lanzhou Hewan Power Plant at a consideration of RMB496mn (around 1.16x book) from its parent Chinalco, making it a wholly-owned subsidiary. Power consumption of primary aluminum production is around 14,500kwh/tonne, and power accounts for around 30% of the production costs. We believe the acquisition will help to provide a stable supply of electricity to company’s Lanzhou branch and significantly lower its production costs.

National Development & Reform Commission (NDRC) has tightened the entry requirement on domestic alumina and aluminum industry in mid-November, which sets guideline on production capacity, location and energy consumption. It also stated that no new aluminum smelting projects will be approved besides those related to environmental reform or replacement of outdated capacity. We believe the new guideline is beneficial to Chalco, as it can effectively slow down the overheated production capacity of aluminum industry in China.

Stock price has dropped by more than 29% since mid-October, and found strong support at around $15.5. As Chalco is an integrated company with business from bauxite to aluminum fabrication business, we believe it has better cost controls than its peers and will be the beneficiary of industry restructuring and rising primary aluminum price.

Maintain our buy recommendation with a 12-month target price of $22.0, representing a 22x 2008 PER.  

Aluminum Corp of China (2600.) jumped 3.6 percent to HK$18.98. JPMorgan upgraded the world's third-largest producer of alumina, to overweight from neutral because of fast rising demand as China is set to become a net importer of aluminium.  

Chalco (2600)

52 Week High 26.2

52 Week Low 5.547

Last Week Close 18.42

Support: 17

Resistance: 22.5

CHALCO (2600) has raised the alumni price per tonne by 8.5% to 3800 yuan from 3500 yuan.

This could help to boost the EPS by 3% in 2008.

The increase in price was mainly driven by the tight demand in the market. The tight demand in alumni leads to further consolidation in the industry. This could strengthen the Group market position.

With the high self sufficiency rate, this guarantee a high profit margin.

Target at $22.5, stop loss at $17.  

Chalco Raises Spot Alumina Price By 10.5%

halco (2600.HK) off 2.7% at HK$15.20 as investors concerned Beijing's tightening measures may have negative impact on metal demand; on Tuesday company raised price of spot alumina for second time in three weeks to reflect tightening supply. Still China Construction Bank International Securities analyst Duncan Chan says, "although the price rise will not have a significant impact on Chalco's 2007 earnings, the move signals the market's outlook is improving." Chalco is selling its spot alumina at CNY4,200 per metric ton, up 10.5% from CNY3,800/ton.  

Goldman Sachs reiterated its ""buy"" call on Aluminum Corp of China Ltd along with a target price of 28 hkd based on the prospect of an earnings enhancement due to the mainland alumina producer's latest price hike.

Chalco raised its alumina spot price by 11 pct or 400 yuan to 4,200 yuan/tonne yesterday. The spot price has risen 75 pct from last year's trough of 2,400 yuan/tonne.

The latest rise follows a 9 pct hike on Nov 27. Other alumina refineries in China announced similar price hikes last week .

Goldman Sachsestimated the earnings impact of the new price hike for Chalco would be 380 mln yuan in 2008, or a 2 pct enhancement.

It said tight supplies are pushing up the alumina price.

""Our channel check indicates a very tight supply of alumina both domestically and in the global spot market,"" it said.

It also noted that insufficient bauxite supply could potentially rein in alumina supply growth, in turn restraining capacity increases in the industry.

Chalco today traded up 0.46 hkd or 3.01 pct, at 15.72 hkd.  

ALUMINUM Corp of China (Chinalco) said its 2007 sales revenue rose 24.1 percent to 131.7 billion yuan (US$18.04 billion) as it made progress in expanding its business to include copper and acquired large projects overseas.

The world's second-largest alumina producer after Alcoa Inc was applying to list in the Fortune Global 500 and would probably enter the ranking system in the middle of the year, Chinalco Deputy General Manager Lu Youqing said.

Its annual profits had exceeded 20 billion yuan for two consecutive years, and its assets reached 201.4 billion yuan, Lu said.

Chinalco produced 10 million tons of alumina last year, up from 9.62 million tons in 2006 when the company accounted for 73 percent of China's total aluminum output.

The company's output of aluminum surged 20.7 percent year-on-year, copper cathode up 20.6 percent, and titanium sponge up 65 percent.

Last year, Chinalco became the controlling shareholder of Yunnan Copper Co, in an effort to build itself into China's leading copper maker. It also acquired 12 million tons of copper equivalent from Canadian copper explorer Peru Copper Inc.

The company plans to invest US$1.2 billion in a joint venture in Saudi Arabia, which will have an annual output of one million tons of aluminum.  

 

Immerhin einer der größten Aluminiumproduzenten der Welt.
Ist Alcoa immernoch mit 8 % beteiligt?

Kann mir mal jemand sagen, welche von den beiden in D gehandelten Shares ich nun kaufen soll?
Die ADRs sind vielleicht sinvoller, da von denen in den USA ordentlich gehandelt wird.
Sind beide dividendenberechtigt?

Lg  

Chalco +9.5%; Likely Overshot On Rio News

1409 [Dow Jones] Chalco (2600.HK) +9.5% at HK$3.22 midday while HSI +3.4%, adding to 4.3% gain yesterday though volume only modest at HK$101.1 million.

2-day rally likely in part driven by news BHP Billiton pulled US$66 billion bid for Rio Tinto, as viewed as opening opportunities for others, with Chalco parent Chinalco planning to lift stake in Rio to 14.99%; but likely too early to speculate on potential benefit to Chalco given deal on parent level.

BHP walking away from Rio, if anything, benefits Chinese steel markers more than Chalco, as BHP-Rio entity would have enormous pricing power over key raw materials like iron ore.

Technically, Chalco shares showing golden crossover with 10-day moving average recently rising over 20-day average, but 50-day average at HK$3.72 remains distant. Angang Steel (0347.HK) +7.5% at HK$5.48 midday, Maanshan Iron (0323.HK) +6.2% at HK$1.89.  

02600.HK   CHALCO   4.880   +0.470   +10.658%  

Shares of Aluminum Corp of China Ltd (Chalco) fell Tuesday morning after the company reported losses for the first half of this year at 3.52 billion yuan ($515 million) late Monday.

Chalco, the listed firm of Aluminum Corporation of China (Chinalco), dropped 3.66 percent to 15.01 yuan as of 10:51 am Tuesday in Shanghai Stock Exchange.

The Chinese aluminum producer attributed the ugly result to weak demand in the automotive and construction industries amid the global economic downturn, according to its statement to the Shanghai Stock Exchange.


Jiangxi Copper dropped 4.67 percent to 37.59 yuan as of 10:51 am Tuesday after the company said its net profits fell 60.99 percent from a year earlier to 1.20 billion yuan in the first half of this year. Western Mining Co slid 5.37 percent to 14.28 yuan as of 10:51 am Tuesday after it reported a 93.67 percent drop in half-year net profits.  

23.08.2010 15:29  
http://www.finanznachrichten.de/...oss-on-oversupply-in-china-020.htm  

potentiellen Wert versorgt.

Wird schon wieder ein Hype anspringen.
Bin schon sehr lange drin und gähne zwar vorm Chart aber die Bude wird schon wieder kommen.
http://www.chinesestock.org/show.aspx?id=114286&cid=28

FZ
Vers

HK stocks little changed, Chalco up on profit forecast Tweet ThisShare on LinkedIn Share on Facebook0diggsdiggRelated TopicsFinancials »Stocks Zhong Guo Lv Ye Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si2600.HKHK$7.51+0.39+5.48%8:00am UTC+0100 Tue Jan 18, 2011 3:10am EST HONG KONG, Jan 18 (Reuters) - Hong Kong shares ended flat on a quiet Tuesday, with investors waiting for U.S. markets to reopen after a public holiday, although shares of Chalco surged on heavy volume after it forecast a return to profit. The benchmark Hang Seng Index .HSI finished little changed at 24,153.98. The China Enterprises Index .HSCE rose 0.23 percent, recovering slightly from a 1.6 percent fall on Monday. (Reporting by Vikram Subhedar; Editing by Chris Lewis) (vikram.subhedar@thomsonreuters.com; +852 2843 6975; Reuters Messaging: vikram.subhedar.reuters.com@reuters.net))

 

Chalco says expects to post net profit for 2010 Tweet ThisShare on LinkedIn Share on Facebook0diggsdiggStocks Zhong Guo Lv Ye Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si2600.HKHK$7.51+0.39+5.48%8:00am UTC+0100 Zhong Guo Lv Ye Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si601600.SS¥9.79+0.07+0.72%7:00am UTC+0100 Mon Jan 17, 2011 4:50am EST HONG KONG, Jan 17 (Reuters) - Aluminum Corp of China Ltd (Chalco) (2600.HK)(601600.SS) said it expects to turn a net profit for 2010 after recording a net loss of 4.646 billion yuan ($690 million) in 2009. "The turnaround from loss to profit for the year 2010 was mainly attributable to an increase in the market prices and sales volume of the principal products of the company," Chalco, the country's top aluminium producer and the world's third-largest alumina maker, said on Monday in a statement filed with the Hong Kong stock exchange. The company also attributed the profit to cost reduction and efficiency improvement policies. (US$ = 6.7 yuan) (Reporting by Lee Chyen Yee and Christina Lo; Editing by Chris Lewis)

 

Thu Jan 20, 2011 1:49am GMT
http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFTOE70J00220110120