Geovic Mining die Kobaltaktie
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The Feasibility Study was prepared to an estimated accuracy of +/-15% and includes the following highlights:
-- Proven and probable reserves of 68.132 million tonnes at average grades
of: Cobalt 0.26%, Ni 0.66%, and Mn 1.48%;
-- A 23 year Project life;
-- Average annual production for the first eleven years of full production:
-- Cobalt: 13.5 million pounds (6,115 tonnes)
-- Nickel: 7.25 million pounds (3,297 tonnes)
-- Manganese Carbonate: 138 million pounds (62,800 tonnes)
-- Initial capital expenditure of $617.2 million (including average 10%
contingency);
-- After-tax Project net present value ("NPV") of $669.6 million at an 8%
discount rate (Geovic Mining's 60.5% share $405.1 million), assuming
average three-year trailing prices (in accordance with SEC guidelines)
of $26.20 per pound for cobalt and $8.71 per pound for nickel; and $0.54
for manganese, based on current prices for manganese carbonate;
-- After-tax internal rate of return ("IRR") of 22% based on 100% equity;
-- Payback period of 41 months;
-- Total free cash flow (before debt service) of $2.14 billion over the
Project life.
"We are pleased with the results of the Nkamouna Feasibility Study, and will aggressively move forward with financing and off-take arrangements as quickly as possible," stated Mike Mason, Geovic's CEO. "We are confident the capital and operating costs have been well vetted, and that the overall economics are solid and defensible. Our ability to finance Nkamouna has been significantly enhanced, and we are now in a position to advance ongoing discussions with various parties."
The end products to be produced include a high-quality cobalt-nickel mixed sulfide precipitate ("MSP") product and a manganese carbonate product. Due to the strong off-take demand observed for MSP, it was determined that building a refinery to manufacture high-purity finished products was neither necessary nor cost efficient at this time. "Producing a high-quality intermediate MSP represents a much lower process risk in terms of our ability to get the metallurgical plant up-and-running, as well as to produce a more marketable and consistently high quality product sooner," Mr. Mason commented.
Financial Sensitivity to Product Prices
The Feasibility Study includes the financial sensitivity of the Project to changes in underlying commodity prices, calculating estimated operating results from 15% increases and decreases in cobalt, nickel, and manganese prices from the base case assumptions as follows:
Price Assumptions: Base - 15% Base + 15% Base Case
Cobalt, US$/lb $22.27 $30.13 $26.20
Nickel, US$/lb $7.41 $10.02 $8.71
Manganese, US$/lb $0.46 $0.63 $0.54
100% Equity - After Tax:
IRR, % 16% 27% 22%
NPV 8%, US$M 316 1,021 670
NPV 8%, US$M (Geovic Mining 60.5% Share) 191 618 405
Payback, Production Years 4.7 2.8 3.4
Feasibility Study Changes Compared to Previous Studies
-- A 24.5% increase in reserves based on the 54,900 meter drilling program
completed in 2009, yielding an updated mine plan that delivers higher
grade ore in the critical early years of production;
-- A simpler and highly flexible mining method better suited for all-
weather operation that enables concurrent mining and reclamation of
multiple ore zones;
-- An improved physical upgrading circuit that significantly improves the
economics by efficiently delivering higher grades to the process plant,
while removing the non economic material, deemed as waste;
-- A simplified and more robust metallurgical process, utilizing powdered
pyrite and sulfuric acid to leach the ore concentrate at atmospheric
pressure, which has been validated by significant additional
metallurgical test work, including a continuous pilot testing program in
2010;
-- A more environmentally protective water management and tailings disposal
system, including water treatment;
-- A detailed Project-wide energy balance enabling the economic use of
imported fuels replacing a dedicated biomass power plant that was
dependent on other local industries to supply fuel material; and
-- A modular design that allows the Project to produce cobalt-nickel MSP
and manganese carbonate as the marketable products, while retaining the
ability to add a refining facility at a future date.
Independent Advisors
The Geovic Cameroon Board of Directors is advised by its independent financial advisor Standard Chartered Bank of London, while the Geovic Board is advised by Canaccord Genuity of Vancouver.
Mr. John Marsden of Phoenix, Arizona advised Geovic Cameroon and Geovic as a technical advisor and a member of the Technical Advisory Panel, an independent panel of industry experts, for metallurgical aspects of the Project. Based on the review and opinions of the technical advisors, the results of the Feasibility Study have been based on sound feasibility-level design engineering and costing principles. The hydrometallurgy has been demonstrated through continuous pilot plant testing and the Technical Advisory Panel members are generally satisfied that the plant will be able to produce MSP and manganese carbonate if designed, constructed and operated according to the proposed plan.
2011 Plans
Geovic Cameroon and the Company, with the assistance of their financial advisors, now plan to secure the required Project financing later in 2011. Preliminary discussions have been held with prospective lenders, and completion of the Feasibility Study allows this process to be accelerated.
Discussions with numerous potential off-take partners have been ongoing for the past 18 months, and will accelerate in light of the completion of the Feasibility Study and near-term financing and construction targets. The Company is very encouraged by the level of off-take interest thus far, principally from China, Korea, and Japan, but also from other regions, including both trading companies and product end users. Moreover, discussions with such firms have also included the potential for strategic equity partnerships in Geovic Cameroon, as well as related Project financing arrangements.
Assuming Project financial arrangements are completed later in 2011, major site construction is scheduled to commence in early 2012. Under the base case scenario, it is anticipated that mining operations would commence in 2013, with commercial production before the end of 2014.
Geovic Cameroon Chairman and Geovic Mining Chief Financial Officer Greg Hill commented, "We are excited with the results of the Nkamouna Feasibility Study, which bear out the confidence we have always had in this unique Project, despite recent financial market turbulence. Nkamouna comprises only about 20% of the mineralized area within Geovic Cameroon's Mine Permit area boundary, and as such, this Project has the potential to produce cobalt, nickel, and manganese for many decades to come. We are now ready to move forward with Project financing and ally with parties looking to secure long-term strategic supplies of cobalt, nickel and manganese." William A. Buckovic, Company founder, who conducted the early exploration of the deposits and formed Geovic Cameroon in 1995 to exploit the deposits, stated, "This Feasibility Study validates the last 15 years of efforts and the investment of over $100 million by the shareholders of Geovic Cameroon in defining this Project and developing and proving the specialized production scheme that is required to operate this unique world class resource."
Phillip Mason, General Manager of Geovic Cameroon, added, "This Feasibility Study will no doubt enable significant long-term value creation for our stakeholders, and especially for the people of Cameroon."
Lycopodium Background
Lycopodium is an Australian-based engineering and project management company which, through five subsidiaries, provides services encompassing evaluation, development, implementation, maintenance planning, and reliability engineering across a broad range of industries. The Company's contracting model is mainly EPCM (Engineering, Procurement, Construction, and Management) based. Founded in 1992 and listed on the Australian Stock Exchange in 2004, Lycopodium has grown organically and by strategic acquisition, yielding an expanded client base and access to new market sectors. Lycopodium has extensive experience in developing projects similar to Nkamouna, specifically in West Africa over the past 13 years. Additional Company information may be found on the website http://www.lycopodium.com.au/.
Standard Chartered Bank Background
Standard Chartered PLC is a leading international bank, listed on the London, Hong Kong and Mumbai stock exchanges. It has operated for over 150 years in some of the world's most dynamic markets and earns more than 90 per cent of its income and profits in Asia, Africa and the Middle East. This geographic focus and commitment to developing deep relationships with clients and customers has driven the Bank's growth in recent years. For more information on Standard Chartered, please visit www.standardchartered.com.
Canaccord Genuity Background
Canaccord Genuity is the global capital markets division of Canaccord Financial Inc., offering institutional and corporate clients idea-driven investment banking, merger and acquisition, research, sales and trading services from 16 offices worldwide in the Metals and Mining, Energy, Agriculture, Technology, Telecommunications, Financials, and other sectors. Canaccord Genuity operates through subsidiaries of Canaccord Financial Inc. Canaccord Genuity Inc. operates in the United States, Vancouver, Toronto, Calgary and Montreal and is a member of FINRA/SIPC. Canaccord Genuity Limited operates in the United Kingdom, and is regulated and authorized by the Financial Services Authority and is a member of the LSE. Canaccord Genuity Corp. operates in Canada and is a Member of CIPF and IIROC. Canaccord Genuity Asia (Beijing) Limited operates in China. More information is available at www.canaccordgenuity.com.
Geovic Mining Background
Geovic is a U.S.-based corporation whose principal asset is 60.5% indirect ownership of a significant cobalt-nickel-manganese deposit in the Republic of Cameroon, Africa. Additional Company initiatives and project information may be found on the websites www.sedar.com, and www.sec.gov. For more information, please go to www.geovic.net.
Qualified Persons
The following individuals are qualified persons (QPs) under National Instrument 43-101 and all are independent of Geovic and Geovic Cameroon. Each has reviewed and approved his respective sections of this news release:
Mr. Bret Swanson of SRK Consulting (Member AusIMM) for matters relating to mining and the financial model.
Mr. Jeff Volk of SRK Consulting (P. Geol.) for matters relating to geology and exploration.
Mr. Brett Crossley of Lycopodium (Member AusIMM) for matters relating to metallurgical processing and costs.
Mr. Norbert W. Peyfuss of Knight Piesold (P.E.) for matters relating to the tailings storage facilities.
Mr. Jaye T. Pickarts of Knight Piesold (P.E.) for environmental matters.
On behalf of the Board
Michael Mason, CEO
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements
Statements contained in this press release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements (within the meaning of Canadian securities legislation) that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future economic conditions and project operating results, commodity prices, the ability to timely complete financing arrangements, to achieve predicted capital costs, operating costs, production rates, recovery rates, and financial performance described in the feasibility study. In certain cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as "proposes", "expects", "is expected", "scheduled", "estimated", "intends", or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results "will" occur. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Such risks and other factors include, among others, risks related to exploration activities and operations; conclusions of economic evaluations; predicted capital costs, operating costs, the ability to obtain financing and to market the products, production rates; changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined; future prices of metals; possible variations in ore reserves, grades, or recovery rates; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labor disputes, other risks of the mining industry, delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the completion of development or construction activities and other factors as described in detail in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Canadian securities regulatory authorities. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this press release speak only as of the date hereof. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Contacts:
Geovic Mining Corp.
Ich habe bisher bei solchen angeheneden Minen wie es Geovic nunmal ist wenn die Feasibility Study vorhanden war, mit 5% Marktkapitalisierung aus dem gesamten Vorkommen gerechnet und bin dabei immer gut gefahren. Wenn dann die Mine in Betrieb war mit 10% und wenn der der Cashfow fließt dann KGV 6 aus dem gesamten Cashfow geteilt durch Lebenslaufzeit.
Dabei komme ich hier auf einen Minen wert von ca. 100 Mio. CHN Dollar zu heutigen Tag, bei Produktionstart von ca. 200 Mio. Dollar und wenn die Minen laufen sollte von 0,5 Mrd. Dollar.
Also gehe ich hier von einer Kursverdoppelung aus in naher Zukunft. Ob die weitere Werte erreicht werden hängt vom Managment ab wie gut sie für die Zukunft geplant haben und es auch umgesetzt werden kann.
So sehe ich die Mine und meine Investition bei Geovic
sowie
http://www.geovic.net/userfiles/file/...ease%202012-2-14%20Geovic.pdf
Ich lese das so:
es herrscht akuter Geldmangel und man sucht nun nach einem Senior Partner, dem man a) das Flaggschiff-Projekt verkaufen kann um sich auf die Exploration des Restes zu konzentrieren oder b) der einen Mehrheitsanteil am Projekt übernimmt & dafür die Kosten trägt.
wie seht ihr das...? Positiv oder negativ?
.....hoffe es geht auch wieder ein bisschen bergauf ;) macht zumindestens den Anschein:
ein Projekt soll in die Realität umgesetzt werden.....
http://www.menafn.com/...gic-Investment-the-Nkamouna-Project?src=main
Ich hatte meine 3,5k, ähnlich wie Heimo, eigentlich auch schon abgeschrieben, jetzt sieht es so aus, als könnte ich noch mit einem blauen Auge davon kommen.
Mein Einstiegskurs war 0,35.
Gruß
Joachim
Guten Morgen;
nach dem explosionsartigen Kurssprung, wurden gestern sicherlich einige Gewinne realisiert;
aber trotzdem hat der Kurs keine "riesen" Rückgänge wie erwartet vollzogen;
daher schätze Ich, dass langfristig ein Kurs Richtung Norden möglich sein wird.
Schönes Wochenende an alle Investierten!
Hier noch ein Link zu einer anderen Seite; zu der Meldung vom 23.07.13 (Abbau in Kamerun)
http://www.stockwatch.com/News/Item.aspx?bid=Z-C:GMC-2089023
Hier einer aktueller Link zu den Beteiligungen von Geovic:
http://topics.nytimes.com/topics/news/business/...poration/index.html
Allen, die ebenfalls hier investiert sind, mein Beileid.
Gruß
Joachim
Tatsache ist aber, dass uns die ganzen Börsendienste ordentlich verarscht haben.
Die Oxford Club EilDepesche hat damals von 650% Kurspotential gesprochen... X(
Allen die noch drinne sind viel Glück, aber ich habe es satt hier der kommenden Insolvenz zuzusehen. knapp 70 Euro habe ich noch erlöst.
lg
heimo